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Earth system models (ESMs) are the principal tools used in climate science to generate future climate projections under various atmospheric emissions scenarios on a global or regional scale. Generative deep learning approaches are suitable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-16 Katie Christensen , Lyric Otto , Seth Bassetti , Claudia Tebaldi , Brian Hutchinson

By decomposing the image formation process into a sequential application of denoising autoencoders, diffusion models (DMs) achieve state-of-the-art synthesis results on image data and beyond. Additionally, their formulation allows for a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Robin Rombach , Andreas Blattmann , Dominik Lorenz , Patrick Esser , Björn Ommer

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in image and video generation. In this work, we demonstrate that diffusion models can also \textit{generate high-performing neural network parameters}. Our approach is simple, utilizing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Kai Wang , Dongwen Tang , Boya Zeng , Yida Yin , Zhaopan Xu , Yukun Zhou , Zelin Zang , Trevor Darrell , Zhuang Liu , Yang You

Deep generative models like VAEs and diffusion models have advanced various generation tasks by leveraging latent variables to learn data distributions and generate high-quality samples. Despite the field of explainable AI making strides in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Mengdan Zhu , Raasikh Kanjiani , Jiahui Lu , Andrew Choi , Qirui Ye , Liang Zhao

The steep computational cost of diffusion models at inference hinders their use as fast physics emulators. In the context of image and video generation, this computational drawback has been addressed by generating in the latent space of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 François Rozet , Ruben Ohana , Michael McCabe , Gilles Louppe , François Lanusse , Shirley Ho

Deep Ensembles, as a type of Bayesian Neural Networks, can be used to estimate uncertainty on the prediction of multiple neural networks by collecting votes from each network and computing the difference in those predictions. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Illia Oleksiienko , Alexandros Iosifidis

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Ken C. L. Wong , Hongzhi Wang , Etienne E. Vos , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell D. Watson , Tanveer Syeda-Mahmood

Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

Most of the methods that produce space weather forecasts are based on deterministic models. In order to generate a probabilistic forecast, a model needs to be run several times sampling the input parameter space, in order to generate an…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Enrico Camporeale , Xiangning Chu , Oleksiy Agapitov , Jacob Bortnik

Generative models such as diffusion models, excel at capturing high-dimensional distributions with diverse input modalities, e.g. robot trajectories, but are less effective at multi-step constraint reasoning. Task and Motion Planning (TAMP)…

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Ensemble prediction systems are an invaluable tool for weather forecasting. Practically, ensemble predictions are obtained by running several perturbations of the deterministic control forecast. However, ensemble prediction is associated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Rüdiger Brecht , Alex Bihlo

While diffusion models excel at generating high-quality samples, their latent variables typically lack semantic meaning and are not suitable for representation learning. Here, we propose InfoDiffusion, an algorithm that augments diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Yingheng Wang , Yair Schiff , Aaron Gokaslan , Weishen Pan , Fei Wang , Christopher De Sa , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Generative diffusion models, notable for their large parameter count (exceeding 100 million) and operation within high-dimensional image spaces, pose significant challenges for traditional uncertainty estimation methods due to computational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Lucas Berry , Axel Brando , David Meger

Data-driven deep learning models are transforming global weather forecasting. It is an open question if this success can extend to climate modeling, where the complexity of the data and long inference rollouts pose significant challenges.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Salva Rühling Cachay , Brian Henn , Oliver Watt-Meyer , Christopher S. Bretherton , Rose Yu

A grand challenge in machine learning is the development of computational algorithms that match or outperform humans in perceptual inference tasks that are complicated by nuisance variation. For instance, visual object recognition involves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-03 Ankit B. Patel , Tan Nguyen , Richard G. Baraniuk

We introduce and study a class of probabilistic generative models, where the latent object is a finite-dimensional diffusion process on a finite time interval and the observed variable is drawn conditionally on the terminal point of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Belinda Tzen , Maxim Raginsky

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

Multi-modal data-sets are ubiquitous in modern applications, and multi-modal Variational Autoencoders are a popular family of models that aim to learn a joint representation of the different modalities. However, existing approaches suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Mustapha Bounoua , Giulio Franzese , Pietro Michiardi

The computational intensity of detector simulation and event reconstruction poses a significant difficulty for data analysis in collider experiments. This challenge inspires the continued development of machine learning techniques to serve…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2024-11-22 Dmitrii Kobylianskii , Nathalie Soybelman , Nilotpal Kakati , Etienne Dreyer , Benjamin Nachman , Eilam Gross