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Scholars and policymakers have vigorously debated what the impact of government spending on economic growth is. Some current research and theoretical models suggest that the reaction of economic growth to the extension of government…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-06 Leanghak Hok , Zoltan Bartha

We investigate the long-term impact of civil war on subnational economic growth across 78 regions in five former Yugoslav republics from 1950 to 2015. Leveraging the outbreak of ethnic tensions and the onset of conflict, we construct…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-06 Aleksandar Keseljevic , Stefan Nikolic , Rok Spruk

We estimate the relationship between GDP per capita growth and the growth rate of the national savings rate using a panel of 130 countries over the period 1960-2017. We find that GDP per capita growth increases (decreases) the growth rate…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-28 Markus Brueckner , Tomoo Kikuchi , George Vachadze

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Daniel Kapp , Marco Vega

We analyze the 2019 Chilean social unrest episode, consisting of a sequence of events, through the lens of an epidemic-like model that considers global contagious dynamics. We adjust the parameters to the Chilean social unrest aggregated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-25 Paulina Caroca , Carlos Cartes , Toby P. Davies , Jocelyn Olivari , Sergio Rica , Katia Vogt

This article examines how emerging economies use countercyclical monetary policies to manage economic crises and fluctuations in dominant currencies, such as the US dollar and the euro. Global economic cycles are marked by phases of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-31 Hugo Spring-Ragain

Climate change has become intertwined with the global economy. Here, we describe the importance of inertia to continued growth in energy consumption. Drawing from thermodynamic arguments, and using 38 years of available statistics between…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-11 Timothy J. Garrett , Matheus R. Grasselli , Stephen Keen

We perform a comprehensive statistical analysis of key scientific metrics to evaluate the productivity and impact of research conducted in Latin American countries within the fields of High Energy Physics, Cosmology and Astroparticle…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-10 Manuel Morales-Alvarado , Fernando Quevedo , Mario Ramos-Hamud , Diego Restrepo

After decades of improvements in the employment conditions of females in Spain, this process came to a sudden stop with the Great Spanish Recession of 2008. In this contribution, we analyse a large longitudinal corpus of national and…

Growth in the global human population this century will have momentous consequences for societies and the environment. Population growth has come with higher aggregate human welfare, but also climate change and biodiversity loss. Based on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-30 Barry W. Brook , Jessie C. Buettel , Sanghyun Hong

We consider the effect of non-constant parameters on the human-forest interaction logistic model coupled with human technological growth introduced in "Deforestation and world population sustainability: a quantitative analysis"[1]. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-21 Gerardo Aquino , Mauro Bologna

Hungary's convergence to the developed western economies have been much slower than initially expected. Applying the FOI model, this study investigates whether there were any changes in the convergence process during the second decade of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-06 Zoltan Bartha

This study examines the relationship between trade openness, logistics performance, and economic growth within G20 economies. Using a Bootstrap Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model augmented by a dynamic error correction mechanism…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Haibo Wang , Lutfu Sua

The high growth rate of atmospheric CO2 in 2023 was found to be caused by a severe reduction of the global net land carbon sink. Here we update the global CO2 budget from January 1st to July 1st 2024, during which El Ni\~no drought…

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its {\it per capita} GDP ({\it gdp}) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-14 Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , Dror Y. Kenett , H. Eugene Stanley

This paper develops a methodology for tracking in real time the impact of shocks (such as natural disasters, financial crises or pandemics) on gross domestic product (GDP) by analyzing high-frequency electricity market data. As an…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-09 Carlo Fezzi , Valeria Fanghella

This paper aims to study the impact of public and private investments on the economic growth of developing countries. The study uses the panel data of 39 developing countries covering the periods 1990-2019. The study was based on the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-01 Faruque Ahamed

Countries participate in global value chains by engaging in backward and forward transactions connecting multiple geographically dispersed production stages. Inspired by network theory, we model global trade as a multilayer network and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-14 Luiz G. A. Alves , Giuseppe Mangioni , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Pietro Panzarasa , Yamir Moreno

The relationship between socioeconomic background, academic performance, and post-secondary educational outcomes remains a significant concern for policymakers and researchers globally. While the literature often relies on self-reported or…

Trade and investment between developing regions such as China and Latin America (LATAM) are growing prominently. However, insights on crucial factors such as innovation in business and management (iBM) about both regions have not been…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Julian D. Cortes , Xiaolei Lin , Xiaolei Xun
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