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Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2019. We show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Piergiorgio Alessandri , Haroon Mumtaz

In this paper the methodology proponed by Cerqueira et al, 2008; is applied to estimate the three-month series of the Chilean Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the period composed between 1965 and 2009. In First place, the equation of Engle-…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-25 Christian Caamaño Carrillo , Sergio Contreras

This research is devoted to assessing regional economic disparities in Ukraine, where regional economic inequality is a crucial issue the country faces in its medium and long-term development, recently, even in the short term. We analyze…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-29 Khrystyna Huk , Ayaz Zeynalov

Voluntary shelter-in-place directives and lockdowns are the main non-pharmaceutical interventions that governments around the globe have used to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. In this paper we study the impact of such interventions in the…

In Kenya, interest payments on external debt have been increasing from 2010 to 2015, while GDP growth experienced a slight decline over the same period. Policymakers are concerned that the rapid increase in external debt in developing…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Sammy Kemboi Chepkilot

Introduction. The high prevalence of students not achieving basic learning competencies in Latin America (LAC) is concerning, even more so considering the region's deep structural inequalities and the larger post-pandemic learning losses.…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Marcos Delprato

Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

Fighting the COVID-19 pandemic, most countries have implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions like wearing masks, physical distancing, lockdown, and travel restrictions. Because of their economic and logistical effects, tracking mobility…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-25 Luca Pappalardo , Giuliano Cornacchia , Victor Navarro , Loreto Bravo , Leo Ferres

We employ an ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration and Unrestricted Error Correction Models (UECMs) to estimate the relationship between income and CO2 emissions per capita in 21 Latin American Countries (LACs) over 1960-2017. Using…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-25 C. Seri , A. de Juan Fernandez

This article conducts a literature review on the topic of monetary policy in developing countries and focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in promoting economic growth and the relationship between monetary policy and economic…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-07 Marouane Daoui

Recent work has shown that a country's productive structure constrains its level of economic growth and income inequality. Here, we compare the productive structure of countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) with that of China…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-18 Dominik Hartmann , Cristian Jara-Figueroa , Miguel Guevara , Alex Simoes , César A. Hidalgo

Post-pandemic world has thrown up several challenges, such as, high inflation, low growth, high debt, collapse of economies, political instability, job losses, lowering of income in addition to damages caused natural disasters, more…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Dibakar Das

We use natural-language-processing algorithms on a novel dataset of over 900 presidential speeches from ten Latin American countries spanning two centuries to study the dynamics and determinants of presidential policy priorities. We show…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-29 Oscar Calvo-González , Axel Eizmendi , Germán Reyes

The financial sector is increasingly concerned with the physical risks of climate change, but economic and financial impact representations are still developing, particularly for chronic risks. Mexico's Central Bank conducted a…

Over the last 30 years, the concept of policy coherence for development has received especial attention among academics, practitioners and international organizations. However, its quantification and measurement remain elusive. To address…

General Economics · Economics 2019-02-04 Omar A. Guerrero , Gonzalo Castañeda

The gross domestic product (GDP) is the most widely used indicator in macroeconomics and the main tool for measuring a country's economic output. Due to the diversity and complexity of the world economy, a wide range of models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Tianyi Wang , Rodney Beard , John Hawkins , Rohitash Chandra

Macroeconomic theories of growth and wealth distribution have an outsized influence on national and international social and economic policies. Yet, due to a relative lack of reliable, system wide data, many such theories remain, at best,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Eamon Duede , Victor Zhorin

This paper introduces a new event-based measure of bilateral geopolitical alignment and provides evidence that it shapes economic growth. The measure is built from 373,020 geopolitical events across 193 countries over 1960--2024, compiled…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Tianyu Fan