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We study ergodic properties of a class of Markov-modulated general birth-death processes under fast regime switching. The first set of results concerns the ergodic properties of the properly scaled joint Markov process with a parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Ari Arapostathis , Guodong Pang , Yi Zheng

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

I derive the pointwise conditional means and variances of an arbitrary Gauss-Markov process, given noisy observations of points on a sample path. These moments depend on the process's mean and covariance functions, and on the conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Benjamin Davies

The master equation and, more generally, Markov processes are routinely used as models for stochastic processes. They are often justified on the basis of randomization and coarse-graining assumptions. Here instead, we derive n-th order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-27 Julian Lee , Steve Pressé

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

We prove a Large Deviation Principle for {\color{blue} jump-Markov } Processes on sparse large disordered network with disordered connectivity. The network is embedded in a geometric space, with the probability of a connection a (scaled)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 James MacLaurin

We extend the work of Kurchan on the Gallavotti-Cohen fluctuation theorem, which yields a symmetry property of the large deviation function, to general Markov processes. These include jump processes describing the evolution of stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Joel. L. Lebowitz , Herbert Spohn

Large fluctuations have received considerable attention as they encode information on the fine-scale dynamics. Large deviation relations known as fluctuation theorems also capture crucial nonequilibrium thermodynamical properties. Here we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-09 David Andrieux

We consider a discrete time hidden Markov model where the signal is a stationary Markov chain. When conditioned on the observations, the signal is a Markov chain in a random environment under the conditional measure. It is shown that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Ramon van Handel

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We establish the weak large deviations principle for empirical measures of Markov chains on $\mathbb R^d$ under mild assumptions. In particular, no irreducibility is assumed and the initial measure may be arbitrary. The proof is entirely…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Léo Daures

We study the optimization of ergodic averages for multi-valued dynamical systems, i.e. where points may have multiple different forward orbits. Under upper semi-continuity assumptions, we show that the maximum space average with respect to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Oliver Jenkinson , Xiaoran Li , Yuexin Liao , Yiwei Zhang

The ergodic hypothesis is examined for energetically open fluid systems represented by the barotropic Navier--Stokes equations with general inflow/outflow boundary conditions. We show that any globally bounded trajectory generates a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Francesco Fanelli , Eduard Feireisl , Martina Hofmanová

In this paper we consider the Allen-Cahn equation perturbed by a stochastic flux term and prove a large deviation principle. Using an associated stochastic flow of diffeomorphisms the equation can be transformed to a parabolic partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Martin Heida , Matthias Röger

A variational representation for functionals of G-Brownian motion is established by a finite-dimensional approximate technique. As an application of the variational representation, we obtain a large deviation principle for stochastic flows…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-23 Fuqing Gao

In the paper we prove that a quadratic stochastic process satisfies the ergodic principle if and only if the associated Markov process satisfies one.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nasir Ganikhodjaev , Hasan Akin , Farrukh Mukhamedov

When analysing statistical systems or stochastic processes, it is often interesting to ask how they behave given that some observable takes some prescribed value. This conditioning problem is well understood within the linear operator…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-09 Lydia Chabane , Alexandre Lazarescu , Gatien Verley

We show the variational convergence of an irreversible Markov jump process describing a finite stochastic particle system to the solution of a countable infinite system of deterministic time-inhomogeneous quadratic differential equations…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Jasper Hoeksema , Chun Yin Lam , André Schlichting

This paper provides a large deviation principle for Non-Markovian, Brownian motion driven stochastic differential equations with random coefficients. Similar to Gao and Liu \cite{GL}, this extends the corresponding results collected in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Jin Ma , Zhenjie Ren , Nizar Touzi , Jianfeng Zhang

The switch chain is a well-known Markov chain for sampling directed graphs with a given degree sequence. While not ergodic in general, we show that it is ergodic for regular degree sequences. We then prove that the switch chain is rapidly…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Catherine Greenhill