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We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

We derive bridges from general multidimensional linear non time-homogeneous processes using only the transition densities of the original process giving their integral representations (in terms of a standard Wiener process) and so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Matyas Barczy , Peter Kern

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

In this paper we study the problems of invariant and ergodic measures under G-expectation framework. In particular, the stochastic differential equations driven by G-Brownian motion have the unique invariant and ergodic measures. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Mingshang Hu , Hanwu Li , Falei Wang , Guoqiang Zheng

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

Periodic measures are the time-periodic counterpart to invariant measures for dynamical systems and can be used to characterise the long-term periodic behaviour of stochastic systems. This paper gives sufficient conditions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao , Johnny Zhong

We study the long-time behavior of an additive functional that takes into account the jumps of a symmetric Markov process. This process is assumed to be observed through a biased observation scheme that includes the survival to events of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Daehong Kim , Takara Tagawa , Aurélien Velleret

This article is concerned with moderate deviation principles of a general class of mean eld type interacting particle models. We discuss functional moderate deviations of the occupation measures for both the strong -topology on the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Pierre Del Moral , Shulan Hu , Liming Wu

We construct a stochastic model showing the relationship between noise, gradient flows and rate-independent systems. The model consists of a one-dimensional birth-death process on a lattice, with rates derived from Kramers' law as an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-09-30 Giovanni A. Bonaschi , Mark A. Peletier

Ergodic optimization aims to describe dynamically invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. For a wide class of intrinsically ergodic subshifts over a finite alphabet, we show that the space of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Mao Shinoda , Hiroki Takahasi , Kenichiro Yamamoto

Large deviation functions are an essential tool in the statistics of rare events. Often they can be obtained by contraction from a so-called level 2 large deviation {\em functional} characterizing the empirical density of the underlying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Johannes Hoppenau , Daniel Nickelsen , Andreas Engel

The Onsager linear relations between macroscopic flows and thermodynamics forces are derived from the point of view of large deviation theory. For a given set of macroscopic variables, we consider the short-time evolution of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-28 Brian R. La Cour , William C. Schieve

We address the excess entropy, which is a measure of complexity for stationary time series, from the ordinal point of view. We show that the permutation excess entropy is equal to the mutual information between two adjacent semi-infinite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-13 Taichi Haruna , Kohei Nakajima

In this review-type paper written at the occasion of the Oberwolfach workshop {\em One-sided vs. Two-sided stochastic processes} (february 22-29, 2020), we discuss and compare Markov properties and generalisations thereof in more…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Aernout van Enter , Arnaud Le Ny , Frédéric Paccaut

Modeling the dynamics of non-stationary stochastic systems requires balancing the representational power of deep learning with the mathematical transparency of classical models. While classical Markov transition operators provide explicit,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jan Rovirosa , Jesse Schmolze

In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

We study variational principles for metric mean dimension. First we prove that in the variational principle of Lindenstrauss and Tsukamoto it suffices to take supremum over ergodic measures. Second we derive a variational principle for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Yonatan Gutman , Adam Śpiewak

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a central result in statistical mechanics and is usually formulated for systems described by diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a generalization for a wider class of stochastic processes,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-20 Alberto Montefusco , Mark A. Peletier , Hans Christian Öttinger

We develop an Onsager-Machlup-type theory for nonequilibrium semi-Markov processes. Our main result is an exact large time asymptotics for the joint probability of the occupation times and the currents in the system, establishing some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Christian Maes , Karel Netočný , Bram Wynants
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