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Economic choices are often stochastic: the same person may make a different choice when facing the same alternatives repeatedly. Standard models assume that the degree of randomness reflects the size of utility differences, but choice…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Shuhua Si

We show that the finite satisfiability problem for the unary negation fragment with arbitrary number of transitive relations is decidable and 2-ExpTime-complete. Our result actually holds for a more general setting in which one can require…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Daniel Danielski , Emanuel Kieronski

We study consumption dependence in the context of random utility and repeated choice. We show that, in the presence of consumption dependence, the random utility model is a misspecified model of repeated rational choice. This…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-01 Christopher Turansick

We investigate online convex optimization in changing environments, and choose the adaptive regret as the performance measure. The goal is to achieve a small regret over every interval so that the comparator is allowed to change over time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Lijun Zhang , Tie-Yan Liu , Zhi-Hua Zhou

In random expected utility (Gul and Pesendorfer, 2006), the distribution of preferences is uniquely recoverable from random choice. This paper shows through two examples that such uniqueness fails in general if risk preferences are random…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-09-10 Yi-Hsuan Lin

In online exploration systems where users with fixed preferences repeatedly arrive, it has recently been shown that O(1), i.e., bounded regret, can be achieved when the system is modeled as a linear contextual bandit. This result may be of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Enoch Hyunwook Kang , P. R. Kumar

To study the assumption that the utility maximization hypothesis implicitly adds to consumer theory, we consider a mathematical representation of pre-marginal revolution consumer theory based on subjective exchange ratios. We introduce two…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-19 Yuhki Hosoya

We explore the construction of nonsubjective prior distributions in Bayesian statistics via a posterior predictive relative entropy regret criterion. We carry out a minimax analysis based on a derived asymptotic predictive loss function and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Trevor J. Sweeting , Gauri S. Datta , Malay Ghosh

We study predictive control in a setting where the dynamics are time-varying and linear, and the costs are time-varying and well-conditioned. At each time step, the controller receives the exact predictions of costs, dynamics, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Yiheng Lin , Yang Hu , Haoyuan Sun , Guanya Shi , Guannan Qu , Adam Wierman

In this paper, we generalize the problem of single-index model to the context of continual learning in which a learner is challenged with a sequence of tasks one by one and the dataset of each task is revealed in an online fashion. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-26 The Tien Mai

Continuous-time adaptive controllers for systems with a matched uncertainty often comprise an online parameter estimator and a corresponding parameterized controller to cancel the uncertainty. However, such methods are often impossible to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

Competitive systems can exhibit both hierarchical (transitive) and cyclic (intransitive) structures. Despite theoretical interest in cyclic competition, which offers richer dynamics, and occupies a larger subset of the space of possible…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-18 Christopher Cebra , Alexander Strang

We study a simple example of a sequential game illustrating problems connected with making rational decisions that are universal for social sciences. The set of chooser's optimal decisions that manifest his preferences in case of a constant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Edward W. Piotrowski , Marcin Makowski

In this paper, we study the problem of regret minimization for episodic Reinforcement Learning (RL) both in the model-free and the model-based setting. We focus on learning with general function classes and general model classes, and we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Grigoris Velegkas , Zhuoran Yang , Amin Karbasi

Making an informed decision -- for example, when choosing a career or housing -- requires knowledge about the available options. Such knowledge is generally acquired through costly trial and error, but this learning process can be disrupted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Sarah H. Cen , Devavrat Shah

Contextual bandits serve as a fundamental model for many sequential decision making tasks. The most popular theoretically justified approaches are based on the optimism principle. While these algorithms can be practical, they are known to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-17 Botao Hao , Tor Lattimore , Csaba Szepesvari

We study the problem of adaptively controlling a known discrete-time nonlinear system subject to unmodeled disturbances. We prove the first finite-time regret bounds for adaptive nonlinear control with matched uncertainty in the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Nicholas M. Boffi , Stephen Tu , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

This is a brief technical note to clarify the state of lower bounds on regret for reinforcement learning. In particular, this paper: - Reproduces a lower bound on regret for reinforcement learning, similar to the result of Theorem 5 in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-10 Ian Osband , Benjamin Van Roy

Ensemble sampling serves as a practical approximation to Thompson sampling when maintaining an exact posterior distribution over model parameters is computationally intractable. In this paper, we establish a regret bound that ensures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Chao Qin , Zheng Wen , Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy