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In the setting of sequential prediction of individual $\{0, 1\}$-sequences with expert advice, we show that by allowing the learner to abstain from the prediction by paying a cost marginally smaller than $\frac 12$ (say, $0.49$), it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Gergely Neu , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Optimization in the presence of sharp (non-Lipschitz), unpredictable (w.r.t. time and amount) changes is a challenging and largely unexplored problem of great significance. We consider the class of piecewise Lipschitz functions, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Maria-Florina Balcan , Travis Dick , Dravyansh Sharma

We study the Thompson sampling algorithm in an adversarial setting, specifically, for adversarial bit prediction. We characterize the bit sequences with the smallest and largest expected regret. Among sequences of length $T$ with $k <…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Yuval Lewi , Haim Kaplan , Yishay Mansour

How do decisions change with the economic environment and with time? This paper studies general nonstationary stopping problems and provides the methodological tools to answer these questions. First, we identify conditions that ensure a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-01 Théo Durandard , Matteo Camboni

We consider the problem of estimating preferences of human agents from data of strategic systems where the agents repeatedly interact. Recently, it was demonstrated that a new estimation method called "quantal regret" produces more accurate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Gali Noti

We present some formal properties of (symmetrical) commutativity, the major criterion used in transactional systems, which allow us to fully understand its advantages and disadvantages. The main result is that commutativity is subject to…

Databases · Computer Science 2010-04-08 Carmelo Malta , José Martinez

This paper presents a new framework for analyzing and designing no-regret algorithms for dynamic (possibly adversarial) systems. The proposed framework generalizes the popular online convex optimization framework and extends it to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Ian Gemp , Sridhar Mahadevan

Diversification represents the idea of choosing variety over uniformity. Within the theory of choice, desirability of diversification is axiomatized as preference for a convex combination of choices that are equivalently ranked. This…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-07 Enrico G. De Giorgi , Ola Mahmoud

We study a stochastic bandit algorithm motivated by retry-aware objectives that value the best outcome among multiple attempts, such as pass@$k$ and max@$k$. Given a posterior over arm values, ReMax chooses a sampling distribution that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Bingkui Tong , Junpei Komiyama , Soichiro Nishimori , Paavo Parmas

The performance of online convex optimization algorithms in a dynamic environment is often expressed in terms of the dynamic regret, which measures the decision maker's performance against a sequence of time-varying comparators. In the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Nima Eshraghi , Ben Liang

This paper studies model-based reinforcement learning (RL) for regret minimization. We focus on finite-horizon episodic RL where the transition model $P$ belongs to a known family of models $\mathcal{P}$, a special case of which is when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Alex Ayoub , Zeyu Jia , Csaba Szepesvari , Mengdi Wang , Lin F. Yang

There are several different common definitions of a property in topological dynamics called "topological transitivity," and it is part of the folklore of dynamical systems that under reasonable hypotheses, they are equivalent. Various…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-04-27 Ethan Akin , Jeffrey D. Carlson

Laws of large numbers guarantee that given a large enough sample from some population, the measure of any fixed sub-population is well-estimated by its frequency in the sample. We study laws of large numbers in sampling processes that can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Noga Alon , Omri Ben-Eliezer , Yuval Dagan , Shay Moran , Moni Naor , Eylon Yogev

The weak axiom of revealed preference (WARP) ensures that the revealed preference (i) is a preference relation (i.e., it is complete and transitive) and (ii) rationalizes the choices. However, when WARP fails, either one of these two…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-15 Pablo Schenone

Recent literature on online learning has focused on developing adaptive algorithms that take advantage of a regularity of the sequence of observations, yet retain worst-case performance guarantees. A complementary direction is to develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-01-27 Ali Jadbabaie , Alexander Rakhlin , Shahin Shahrampour , Karthik Sridharan

We bound features of counterfactual choices in the nonparametric random utility model of demand, i.e. if observable choices are repeated cross-sections and one allows for unrestricted, unobserved heterogeneity. In this setting, tight bounds…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

Preference-based many-objective optimization faces two obstacles: an expanding space of trade-offs and heterogeneous, context-dependent human value structures. Towards this, we propose a Bayesian framework that learns a small set of latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Manisha Dubey , Sebastiaan De Peuter , Wanrong Wang , Samuel Kaski

This paper studies relations among axioms on individuals' intertemporal choices under risk. The focus is on Risk Averse over Time Lotteries (RATL), meaning that a fixed prize is preferred to a lottery with the same monetary prize but a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-07 Minghao Pan

Consider the property $(\aleph_{\omega + 1},\aleph_{\omega + 2},\ldots) \twoheadrightarrow (\aleph_1,\aleph_2,\ldots)$. Here we will show that this property with the addition of the General Continuum Hypothesis implies projective…

Logic · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Dominik Adolf

Some of the most compelling applications of online convex optimization, including online prediction and classification, are unconstrained: the natural feasible set is R^n. Existing algorithms fail to achieve sub-linear regret in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Matthew Streeter , H. Brendan McMahan
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