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We study the stability of non-conservative deterministic cross diffusion models and prove that they are approximated by stochastic population models when the populations become locally large. In this model, the individuals of two species…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Vincent Bansaye , Alexandre Bertolino , Ayman Moussa

This is an expository review paper elaborating on the proof of the martingale functional central limit theorem (FCLT). This paper also reviews tightness and stochastic boundedness, highlighting one-dimensional criteria for tightness used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-27 Ward Whitt

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

We prove that for a so-called sticky process $S$ there exists an equivalent probability $Q$ and a $Q$-martingale $\tilde{S}$ that is arbitrarily close to $S$ in $L^p(Q)$ norm. For continuous $S$, $\tilde{S}$ can be chosen arbitrarily close…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-03 Miklós Rásonyi , Hasanjan Sayit

In the first part of this paper we give easy and intuitive proofs for the small value probabilities of the martingale limit of a supercritical Galton-Watson process in both the Schr\"oder and the B\"ottcher case. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 Peter Morters , Marcel Ortgiese

Approximations of optimization problems arise in computational procedures and sensitivity analysis. The resulting effect on solutions can be significant, with even small approximations of components of a problem translating into large…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Johannes O. Royset

The Robbins-Monro algorithm is a recursive, simulation-based stochastic procedure to approximate the zeros of a function that can be written as an expectation. It is known that under some technical assumptions, Gaussian limit distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen , Lorick Huang

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Manuela L. Bujorianu , Robert S. MacKay , Tobias Grafke , Shibabrat Naik , Evangelos Boulougouris

In practice, optimization models are often prone to unavoidable inaccuracies due to dubious assumptions and corrupted data. Traditionally, this placed special emphasis on risk-based and robust formulations, and their focus on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Johannes O. Royset , Louis L. Chen , Eric Eckstrand

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems with risk constraints that are expressed as bounded probabilities of failure for particular initial states. We present here a martingale approach that diffuses a risk…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Vu Anh Huynh , Leonid Kogan , Emilio Frazzoli

Supermartingales are here defined on a non-probabilistic setting and can be interpreted solely in terms of superhedging operations. The classical expectation operator is replaced by a pair of subadditive operators one of them providing a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-26 C. Bender , S. E. Ferrando , K. Gajewski , A. L. Gonzalez

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

Inspired by regularization techniques in statistics and machine learning, we study complementary composite minimization in the stochastic setting. This problem corresponds to the minimization of the sum of a (weakly) smooth function endowed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Alexandre d'Aspremont , Cristóbal Guzmán , Clément Lezane

We present limit theorems for a sequence of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) taking values in a separable Hilbert space. This class of processes provides a rigorous framework for stochastic spatial models in which discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Martin G. Riedler , Michèle Thieullen , Gilles Wainrib

We study the problem of global maximization of a function f given a finite number of evaluations perturbed by noise. We consider a very weak assumption on the function, namely that it is locally smooth (in some precise sense) with respect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Michal Valko , Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

For a measure preserving transformation $T$ of a probability space $(X,\mathcal F,\mu)$ we investigate almost sure and distributional convergence of random variables of the form $$x \to \frac{1}{C_n} \sum_{i_1<n,...,i_d<n}…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Manfred Denker , Mikhail Gordin

The existence of global-in-time bounded martingale solutions to a general class of cross-diffusion systems with multiplicative Stratonovich noise is proved. The equations describe multicomponent systems from physics or biology with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Gaurav Dhariwal , Florian Huber , Ansgar Jüngel , Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

In this paper, a class of statistics based on high frequency observations of oscillating and skew Brownian motion is considered. Their convergence rate towards the local time of the underlying process is obtained in form of a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Sara Mazzonetto
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