English

A new stochastic framework for ship capsizing

Dynamical Systems 2021-05-14 v1 Probability Classical Physics

Abstract

We present a new stochastic framework for studying ship capsize. It is a synthesis of two strands of transition state theory. The first is an extension of deterministic transition state theory to dissipative non-autonomous systems, together with a probability distribution over the forcing functions. The second is stochastic reachability and large deviation theory for transition paths in Markovian systems. In future work we aim to bring these together to make a tool for predicting capsize rate in different stochastic sea states, suggesting control strategies and improving designs.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2105.05965,
  title  = {A new stochastic framework for ship capsizing},
  author = {Manuela L. Bujorianu and Robert S. MacKay and Tobias Grafke and Shibabrat Naik and Evangelos Boulougouris},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2105.05965},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

8 pages, 3 figures, paper for STAB&S 2021 proceedings

R2 v1 2026-06-24T02:03:29.325Z