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We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Yan Cui , Michael Levine , Zhou Zhou

This work addresses the problem of analyzing multi-channel time series data %. In this paper, we by proposing an unsupervised fusion framework based on %the recently proposed convolutional transform learning. Each channel is processed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Pooja Gupta , Jyoti Maggu , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Giovanni Chierchia

In this article, a multiple split method is proposed that enables construction of multidimensional probabilistic forecasts of a selected set of variables. The method uses repeated resampling to estimate uncertainty of simultaneous…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Weronika Nitka

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

The price of financial assets are, since Bachelier, considered to be described by a (discrete or continuous) time sequence of random variables, i.e a stochastic process. Sharp scaling exponents or unifractal behavior of such processes has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Marc-Etienne Brachet , Erik Taflin , Jean Marcel Tcheou

Ongoing and future surveys with repeat imaging in multiple bands are producing (or will produce) time-spaced measurements of brightness, resulting in the identification of large numbers of variable sources in the sky. A large fraction of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Abhijit Saha , A. Katherina Vivas

We propose a fully multivariate generalization of multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) and leverage it to develop a fault diagnosis framework for multichannel machine vibration data. We introduce a novel covariance-weighted…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-27 Khuram Naveed , Naveed ur Rehman

During recent years the counterparty risk subject has received a growing attention because of the so called Basel Accord. In particular the Basel III Accord asks the banks to fulfill finer conditions concerning counterparty credit exposures…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-06 M. Bonollo , L. Di Persio , I. Oliva , A. Semmoloni

The serial correlations of illiquid stock's price changes are studied, allowing for unconditional heteroscedasticity and time-varying zero returns probability. Depending on the set up, we investigate how the usual autocorrelations can be…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-04 Hamdi Raïssi

This paper proposes an analysis methodology for the case where there is longitudinal data with destructive sampling of observational units, which come from experimental units that are measured at all times of the analysis. A mixed linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 C. A. Avellaneda , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

Despite half a century of research, there is still no general agreement about the optimal approach to build a robust multi-period portfolio. We address this question by proposing the detrended cluster entropy approach to estimate the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 P. Murialdo , L. Ponta , A. Carbone

We consider a mean-reverting stochastic volatility model which satisfies some relevant stylized facts of financial markets. We introduce an algorithm for the detection of peaks in the volatility profile, that we apply to the time series of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Mario Bonino , Matteo Camelia , Paolo Pigato

In the paper, we introduce a new measure of correlation between possibly non-stationary series. As the measure is based on the detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA), we label it as the DMCA coefficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-27 Ladislav Kristoufek

Diffusion models have recently shown considerable potential in solving Bayesian inverse problems when used as priors. However, sampling from the resulting denoising posterior distributions remains a challenge as it involves intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Badr Moufad , Yazid Janati , Lisa Bedin , Alain Durmus , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

In the last years there has been a considerable increase in the availability of continuous sensor measurements in a wide range of application domains, such as Location-Based Services (LBS), medical monitoring systems, manufacturing plants…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Michele Dallachiesa , Besmira Nushi , Katsiaryna Mirylenka , Themis Palpanas

This research paper introduces innovative approaches for multivariate time series forecasting based on different variations of the combined regression strategy. We use specific data preprocessing techniques which makes a radical change in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-09 Aryan Bhambu , Arabin Kumar Dey

We present a practical implementation of a Monte Carlo method to estimate the significance of cross-correlations in unevenly sampled time series of data, whose statistical properties are modeled with a simple power-law power spectral…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 W. Max-Moerbeck , J. L. Richards , T. Hovatta , V. Pavlidou , T. J. Pearson , A. C. S. Readhead

An accurate prediction of crude oil prices over long future horizons is challenging and of great interest to governments, enterprises, and investors. This paper proposes a revised hybrid model built upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-10 Tao Xiong , Yukun Bao , Zhongyi Hu

The learning from imbalanced data is a deeply studied problem in standard classification and, in recent times, also in multilabel classification. A handful of multilabel resampling methods have been proposed in late years, aiming to balance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Francisco Charte , Antonio J. Rivera , María J. del Jesus , Francisco Herrera
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