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Related papers: On P\'olya-Young urn models and growth processes

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We introduce the P\'olya Web, a system of coalescing random walks based on the classic P\'olya urn model. This construction serves as an analogue to the web of coalescing random walks studied by T\'oth and Werner (1998), replacing simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ákos Urbán

A classical P\'olya urn scheme is a Markov process whose evolution is encoded by a replacement matrix $(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$. At every discrete time-step, we draw a ball uniformly at random, denote its colour $c$, and replace it in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Nabil Lasmar , Cécile Mailler , Olfa Selmi

This paper considers a two-color, single-draw urn model with two types of balls, denoted type $1$ and type $2$, with initial counts $Y^1_0\in N^+$ and $Y^2_0\in N^+$, respectively. At each discrete time step, a ball is drawn uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

The purpose of the present work is twofold. First, we develop the theory of general self-similar growth-fragmentation processes by focusing on martingales which appear naturally in this setting and by recasting classical results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Jean Bertoin , Timothy Budd , Nicolas Curien , Igor Kortchemski

This paper is devoted to a direct martingale approach for P{\'o}lya urn models asymptotic behaviour. A P{\'o}lya process is said to be small when the ratio of its remplacement matrix eigenvalues is less than or equal to 1/2, otherwise it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Lucile Laulin

We study preferential attachment models where vertices enter the network with i.i.d. random numbers of edges that we call the out-degree. We identify the local limit of such models, substantially extending the work of Berger et al.(2014).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Alessandro Garavaglia , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Remco van der Hofstad , Rounak Ray

The fringe of a B-tree with parameter $m$ is considered as a particular P\'olya urn with $m$ colors. More precisely, the asymptotic behaviour of this fringe, when the number of stored keys tends to infinity, is studied through the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Brigitte Chauvin , Danièle Gardy , Nicolas Pouyanne , Dai-Hai Ton-That

We introduce a novel preferential attachment model using the draw variables of a modified P\'olya urn with an expanding number of colors, notably capable of modeling influential opinions (in terms of vertices of high degree) as the graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Somya Singh , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

The paper written in 1925 by G. Udny Yule that we celebrate in this special issue introduces several novelties and results that we recall in detail. First, we discuss Yule (1925)'s main legacies over the past century, focusing on empirical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-24 Amaury Lambert

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

The generalized P\`olya urn (GPU) models and their variants have been investigated in several disciplines. However, typical assumptions made with respect to the GPU do not include urn models with diagonal replacement matrix, which arise in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand N. Vidyashankar , William F. Rosenberger

We consider a version of the classical P\'olya urn scheme which incorporates innovations. The space $S$ of colors is an arbitrary measurable set. After each sampling of a ball in the urn, one returns $C$ balls of the same color and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Jean Bertoin

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

We introduce an extension of the P\'olya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the construction gives rise to random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Wing H. Wong , Li Ma

Panagiotou and Stufler recently proved an important fact on their way to establish the scaling limits of random P\'olya trees: a uniform random P\'olya tree of size $n$ consists of a conditioned critical Galton-Watson tree $C_n$ and many…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-25 Bernhard Gittenberger , Emma Yu Jin , Michael Wallner

In this paper, we consider a new type of urn scheme, where the selection probabilities are proportional to a weight function, which is linear but decreasing in the proportion of existing colours. We refer to it as the \emph{negatively…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Gursharn Kaur

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

Consider a balanced non triangular two-color P\'olya-Eggenberger urn process, assumed to be large which means that the ratio sigma of the replacement matrix eigenvalues satisfies 1/2<sigma <1. The composition vector of both discrete time…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-31 Brigitte Chauvin , Cécile Mailler , Nicolas Pouyanne

We consider P\'olya urns with infinitely many colours that are of a random walk type, in two related version. We show that the colour distribution a.s., after rescaling, converges to a normal distribution, assuming only second moments on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Svante Janson