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We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

The widespread adoption of deep learning models in computer vision has intensified concerns about interpretability. Despite strong performance, these models are often treated as black boxes, with limited systematic investigation of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Konstantinos P. Panousis , Diego Marcos

Deep learning models have achieved strong performance in medical image analysis, but their internal decision processes remain difficult to interpret. Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) partially address this limitation by structuring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Getamesay Dagnaw , Xuefei Yin , Muhammad Hassan Maqsood , Yanming Zhu , Alan Wee-Chung Liew

We enhance the accuracy and generalization of univariate time series point prediction by an explainable ensemble on the fly. We propose an Interpretable Dynamic Ensemble Architecture (IDEA), in which interpretable base learners give…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Mengyue Zha , Kani Chen , Tong Zhang

Class-incremental learning of deep networks sequentially increases the number of classes to be classified. During training, the network has only access to data of one task at a time, where each task contains several classes. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Lu Yu , Bartłomiej Twardowski , Xialei Liu , Luis Herranz , Kai Wang , Yongmei Cheng , Shangling Jui , Joost van de Weijer

The chaotic nature of fluid flow and the uncertainties in initial conditions limit predictability. Small errors that occur in the initial condition can grow exponentially until they saturate at $\mathcal{O}$(1). Ensemble forecasting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Rui Fang

Current instance segmentation models achieve high performance on average predictions, but lack principled uncertainty quantification: their outputs are not calibrated, and there is no guarantee that a predicted mask is close to the ground…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Kerri Lu , Dan M. Kluger , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) decompose image classification into a process governed by interpretable, human-readable concepts. Recent advances in CBMs have used Large Language Models (LLMs) to generate candidate concepts. However, a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Yiwen Jiang , Deval Mehta , Wei Feng , Zongyuan Ge

In the context of image classification, Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) first embed images into a set of human-understandable concepts, followed by an intrinsically interpretable classifier that predicts labels based on these intermediate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Haifei Zhang , Patrick Barry , Eduardo Brandao

Median clustering is of great value for partitioning relational data. In this paper, a new prototype-based clustering method, called Median Evidential C-Means (MECM), which is an extension of median c-means and median fuzzy c-means on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-08 Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Quan Pan , Zhun-Ga Liu

AI-native 6G networks promise unprecedented automation and performance by embedding machine-learning models throughout the radio access and core segments of the network. However, the non-stationary nature of wireless environments due to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Athanasios Tziouvaras , Carolina Fortuna , George Floros , Kostas Kolomvatsos , Panagiotis Sarigiannidis , Marko Grobelnik , Blaž Bertalanič

We leverage state-of-the-art machine learning methods and a decade's worth of archival data from CFHT to predict observatory image quality (IQ) from environmental conditions and observatory operating parameters. Specifically, we develop…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-24 Sankalp Gilda , Stark C. Draper , Sebastien Fabbro , William Mahoney , Simon Prunet , Kanoa Withington , Matthew Wilson , Yuan-Sen Ting , Andrew Sheinis

The credit spread is a key indicator in bond investments, offering valuable insights for fixed-income investors to devise effective trading strategies. This study proposes a novel credit spread forecasting model leveraging ensemble learning…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Yu Shao , Jiawen Bai , Yingze Hou , Xia'an Zhou , Zhanhao Pan

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) offer interpretable alternatives to black-box predictors by introducing human-relatable concepts before the final output. However, existing CBMs struggle to verify whether predicted concepts correspond to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yingying Fang , Haijie Xu , Shuang Wu , Mariathasan Anish , Guang Yang

Data in the real world often has an evolving distribution. Thus, machine learning models trained on such data get outdated over time. This phenomenon is called model drift. Knowledge of this drift serves two purposes: (i) Retain an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pranoy Panda , Kancheti Sai Srinivas , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Gaurav Sinha

Cognitive diagnosis is a crucial task in computational education, aimed at evaluating students' proficiency levels across various knowledge concepts through exercises. Current models, however, primarily rely on students' answered exercises,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Haiping Ma , Changqian Wang , Hengshu Zhu , Shangshang Yang , Xiaoming Zhang , Xingyi Zhang

In this paper, we propose a novel modulation concept which we call \emph{index and composition modulation (ICM)}. In the proposed concept, we use indices of active/deactive codeword elements and compositions of an integer to encode…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Ferhat Yarkin , Justin P. Coon

Concept-Based Models (CBMs) are a class of deep learning models that provide interpretability by explaining predictions through high-level concepts. These models first predict concepts and then use them to perform a downstream task.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 David Debot , Pietro Barbiero , Gabriele Dominici , Giuseppe Marra

We introduce innovative inference procedures for analyzing time series data. Our methodology enables density approximation and composite hypothesis testing based on Whittle's estimator, a widely applied M-estimator in the frequency domain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Alban Moor , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue