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Deep learning tools have gained tremendous attention in applied machine learning. However such tools for regression and classification do not capture model uncertainty. In comparison, Bayesian models offer a mathematically grounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-05 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian Neural Networks (BayNNs) can inherently estimate predictive uncertainty, facilitating informed decision-making. Dropout-based BayNNs are increasingly implemented in spintronics-based computation-in-memory architectures for…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed , Michael Hefenbrock , Guillaume Prenat , Lorena Anghel , Mehdi B. Tahoori

Graph neural networks for molecular property prediction are frequently underspecified by data and fail to generalise to new scaffolds at test time. A potential solution is Bayesian learning, which can capture our uncertainty in the model…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-04 George Lamb , Brooks Paige

The combination of Monte Carlo tree search and neural networks has revolutionized online planning. As neural network approximations are often imperfect, we ask whether uncertainty estimates about the network outputs could be used to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nir Greshler , David Ben Eli , Carmel Rabinovitz , Gabi Guetta , Liran Gispan , Guy Zohar , Aviv Tamar

In recent years, neural networks have revolutionized various domains, yet challenges such as hyperparameter tuning and overfitting remain significant hurdles. Bayesian neural networks offer a framework to address these challenges by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Hayk Amirkhanian , Marco F. Huber

Uncertainty of decisions in safety-critical engineering applications can be estimated on the basis of the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique of averaging over decision models. The use of decision tree (DT) models assists…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-12-03 Vitaly Schetinin , Jonathan Fieldsend , Derek Partridge , Wojtek Krzanowski , Richard Everson , Trevor Bailey , Adolfo Hernandez

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful and accurate method to sample from the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. However, HMC techniques are computationally demanding for Bayesian neural networks due to the high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan , Tamer A. Zaki , Michael D. Shields

We introduce a new, efficient, principled and backpropagation-compatible algorithm for learning a probability distribution on the weights of a neural network, called Bayes by Backprop. It regularises the weights by minimising a compression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-22 Charles Blundell , Julien Cornebise , Koray Kavukcuoglu , Daan Wierstra

Neural network potentials (NNPs) combine the computational efficiency of classical interatomic potentials with the high accuracy and flexibility of the ab initio methods used to create the training set, but can also result in unphysical…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-01-24 Leonid Kahle , Federico Zipoli

We consider the problem of modeling heterogeneous materials where micro-scale dynamics and interactions affect global behavior. In the presence of heterogeneities in material microstructure it is often impractical, if not impossible, to…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-11-03 Yiming Fan , Marta D'Elia , Yue Yu , Habib N. Najm , Stewart Silling

In the event of a nuclear accident, or the detonation of a radiological dispersal device, quickly locating the source of the accident or blast is important for emergency response and environmental decontamination. At a specified time after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Christopher Edwards , Ralph C Smith

We propose a novel framework for joint magnetic resonance image reconstruction and uncertainty quantification using under-sampled k-space measurements. The problem is formulated as a Bayesian linear inverse problem, where prior…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Ahmed Karam Eldaly , Matteo Figini , Daniel C. Alexander

Deep learning (DL)-based methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance for many medical image segmentation tasks. Nevertheless, recent studies show that deep neural networks (DNNs) can be miscalibrated and overconfident, leading to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-28 Yidong Zhao , Joao Tourais , Iain Pierce , Christian Nitsche , Thomas A. Treibel , Sebastian Weingärtner , Artur M. Schweidtmann , Qian Tao

In context of the universal presence of defects in additively manufactured (AM) metals, efficient computational tools are required to rapidly screen AM microstructures for mechanical integrity. To this end, a deep learning approach is used…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-25 Brendan P. Croom , Michael Berkson , Robert K. Mueller , Michael Presley , Steven Storck

Machine learning (ML) surrogate models are increasingly used in engineering analysis and design to replace computationally expensive simulation models, significantly reducing computational cost and accelerating decision-making processes.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Xiaoping Du

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Bayesian methods hold significant promise for improving the uncertainty quantification ability and robustness of deep neural network models. Recent research has seen the investigation of a number of approximate Bayesian inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Meet P. Vadera , Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian , Benjamin M. Marlin

Despite the dominant role of deep models in machine learning, limitations persist, including overconfident predictions, susceptibility to adversarial attacks, and underestimation of variability in predictions. The Bayesian paradigm provides…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Survival models are used in various fields, such as the development of cancer treatment protocols. Although many statistical and machine learning models have been proposed to achieve accurate survival predictions, little attention has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Hrushikesh Loya , Pranav Poduval , Deepak Anand , Neeraj Kumar , Amit Sethi