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Related papers: Theory of Stochastic Drift

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The time of the first occurrence of a threshold crossing event in a stochastic process, known as the first passage time, is of interest in many areas of sciences and engineering. Conventionally, there is an implicit assumption that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-24 Aanjaneya Kumar , Aniket Zodage , M. S. Santhanam

The process of fluctuations of trajectory observables of stochastic systems is related to processes with independent increments from the risk theory. The first-passage times of variables of the thermodynamics of trajectories, in particular,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-06-17 V. V. Ryazanov

We study the effect of stochastic sampling on the estimation of the drift parameter of continuous time AR(1) process. A natural distribution free moment estimator is considered for the drift based on stochastically observed time points. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Radhendushka Srivastava , Ping Li

We consider stochastic control with discretionary stopping for the drift of a diffusion process over an infinite time horizon. The objective is to choose a control process and a stopping time to minimize the expectation of a convex terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Václav E. Beneš , Georgy Gaitsgori , Ioannis Karatzas

Convergence of stochastic processes with jumps to diffusion processes is investigated in the case when the limit process has discontinuous coefficients. An example is given in which the diffusion approximation of a queueing model yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 N. V. Krylov , R. Liptser

This paper explores the use of the standard approach for proving runtime bounds in discrete domains---often referred to as drift analysis---in the context of optimization on a continuous domain. Using this framework we analyze the (1+1)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-31 Youhei Akimoto , Anne Auger , Tobias Glasmachers

Fixed-budget theory is concerned with computing or bounding the fitness value achievable by randomized search heuristics within a given budget of fitness function evaluations. Despite recent progress in fixed-budget theory, there is a lack…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Timo Kötzing , Carsten Witt

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

Most machine learning models are static, but the world is dynamic, and increasing online deployment of learned models gives increasing urgency to the development of efficient and effective mechanisms to address learning in the context of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Geoffrey I. Webb , Roy Hyde , Hong Cao , Hai Long Nguyen , Francois Petitjean

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

There exists a large body of work on online drift detection with the goal of dynamically finding and maintaining changes in data streams. In this paper, we adopt a query-based approach to drift detection. Our approach relies on {\em a drift…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-05-16 Sofia Kleisarchaki , Sihem Amer-Yahia , Ahlame Douzal-Chouakria , Vassilis Christophides

We study preferential attachment mechanisms in random graphs that are parameterized by (i) a constant bias affecting the degree-biased distribution on the vertex set and (ii) the distribution of times at which new vertices are created by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Peter Orbanz

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

In this work we consider a stochastic movement process with random resets to the origin followed by a random residence time there before the walker restarts its motion. First, we study the transport properties of the walker, we derive an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Vicenç Méndez

We study the biased random walk process in random uncorrelated networks with arbitrary degree distributions. In our model, the bias is defined by the preferential transition probability, which, in recent years, has been commonly used to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-05-29 Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

Recently there has been much work on selective sampling, an online active learning setting, in which algorithms work in rounds. On each round an algorithm receives an input and makes a prediction. Then, it can decide whether to query a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-18 Edward Moroshko , Koby Crammer