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Of stochastic differential equations, diffusion processes have been adopted in numerous applications, as more relevant and flexible models. This paper studies diffusion processes in a different setting, where for a given stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Saber Jafarizadeh

We study the simple hypothesis testing problem for the drift coefficient for stochastic fractional heat equation driven by additive noise. We introduce the notion of asymptotically the most powerful test, and find explicit forms of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-22 Igor Cialenco , Liaosha Xu

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Tobias Boege , Mathias Drton , Benjamin Hollering , Sarah Lumpp , Pratik Misra , Daniela Schkoda

Decision theories offer principled methods for making choices under various types of uncertainty. Algorithms that implement these theories have been successfully applied to a wide range of real-world problems, including materials and drug…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Agustinus Kristiadi

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

In this paper we develop a new approach to stochastic evolution equations with an unbounded drift $A$ which is dependent on time and the underlying probability space in an adapted way. It is well-known that the semigroup approach to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Matthijs Pronk , Mark Veraar

We introduce deterministic perturbation schemes for the recently proposed random directions stochastic approximation (RDSA) [17], and propose new first-order and second-order algorithms. In the latter case, these are the first second-order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Prashanth L A , Shalabh Bhatnagar , Nirav Bhavsar , Michael Fu , Steven I. Marcus

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Jörn Sass , Ralf Wunderlich

In this paper we study a substantial generalization of the model of excited random walk introduced in [Electron. Commun. Probab. 8 (2003) 86-92] by Benjamini and Wilson. We consider a discrete-time stochastic process $(X_n,n=0,1,2,...)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov , Alejandro F. Ramírez , Marina Vachkovskaia

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Stochastic restart may drastically reduce the expected run time of a computer algorithm, expedite the completion of a complex search process, or increase the turnover rate of an enzymatic reaction. These diverse first-passage-time (FPT)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-30 Shlomi Reuveni

Stochastic variational Bayes algorithms have become very popular in the machine learning literature, particularly in the context of nonparametric Bayesian inference. These algorithms replace the true but intractable posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-04 Pedro Regueiro , Abel Rodríguez , Juan Sosa

We study evolution equations of drift-diffusion type when various parameters are random. Motivated by applications in pedestrian dynamics, we focus on the case when the total mass is, due to boundary or reaction terms, not conserved. After…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Greta Marino , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Alois Pichler

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Ngo P. N. Ngoc , Tuan-Minh Nguyen

Motivated by the fact that in nature almost all phenomena behave randomly in some scales and deterministically in some other scales, we build up a framework suitable to tackle both deterministic and stochastic homogenization problems…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Mamadou Sango , Jean Louis Woukeng

This paper introduces a continuous-time stochastic dynamical framework for understanding how large language models (LLMs) may self-amplify latent biases or toxicity through their own chain-of-thought reasoning. The model posits an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jack David Carson

We investigate first-hitting location (FHL) statistics induced by drift-diffusion processes in domains with absorbing boundaries, and examine how such boundary laws give rise to intrinsic information observables. Rather than introducing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-07 Yen-Chi Lee

The laws of chance are often subtle and deceptive. This is why games of chance work. People are convinced that they obey seemingly intuitive laws, while the underlying mathematical structure reveals a different and more complex reality.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Paolo Bartesaghi

Statistical learning theory is the foundation of machine learning, providing theoretical bounds for the risk of models learned from a (single) training set, assumed to issue from an unknown probability distribution. In actual deployment,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Michele Caprio , Maryam Sultana , Eleni Elia , Fabio Cuzzolin

We study a stochastic control problem for nonlinear systems governed by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift. The drift coefficient is assumed to decompose as $b(t,x,a)=b_1(t,x)+b_2(x)b_3(t,a)$, where $b_1$ is bounded and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Antoine Marie Bogso , Rhoss Likibi Pellat , Wilfried Kuissi Kamdem , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen
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