English
Related papers

Related papers: High-probability minimax lower bounds

200 papers

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

This paper takes an initial step to systematically investigate the generalization bounds of algorithms for solving nonconvex-(strongly)-concave (NC-SC/NC-C) stochastic minimax optimization measured by the stationarity of primal functions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Siqi Zhang , Yifan Hu , Liang Zhang , Niao He

We re-examine a lower-tail upper bound for the random variable $$X=\prod_{i=1}^{\infty}\min\left\{\sum_{k=1}^iE_k,1\right\},$$ where $E_1,E_2,\ldots\stackrel{iid}\sim\text{Exp}(1)$. This bound has found use in root-finding and seed-finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Sam Justice , N. D. Shyamalkumar

We present novel minibatch stochastic optimization methods for empirical risk minimization problems, the methods efficiently leverage variance reduced first-order and sub-sampled higher-order information to accelerate the convergence speed.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-12 Jialei Wang , Tong Zhang

We propose a new testing procedure about the tail weight parameter of multivariate Student $t$ distributions by having recourse to the Le Cam methodology. Our test is asymptotically as efficient as the classical likelihood ratio test, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-10 Christophe Ley , Anouk Neven

This paper is concerned with objective value performance of the scenario approach for robust convex optimization. A novel method is proposed to derive probabilistic bounds for the objective value from scenario programs with a finite number…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Zheming Wang , Raphaël M. Jungers

We propose two families of asymptotically local minimax lower bounds on parameter estimation performance. The first family of bounds applies to any convex, symmetric loss function that depends solely on the difference between the estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Neri Merhav

Computation of extreme quantiles and tail-based risk measures using standard Monte Carlo simulation can be inefficient. A method to speed up computations is provided by importance sampling. We show that importance sampling algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

Many management decisions involve accumulated random realizations for which only the first and second moments of their distribution are available. The sharp Chebyshev-type bound for the tail probability and Scarf bound for the expected loss…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-15 Zhaolin Li , Artem Prokhorov

The purpose of this paper is to study the problem of estimating a compactly supported density of probability from noisy observations of its moments. In fact, we provide a statistical approach to the famous Hausdorff classical moment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-09 Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc

The so-called pinball loss for estimating conditional quantiles is a well-known tool in both statistics and machine learning. So far, however, only little work has been done to quantify the efficiency of this tool for nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Ingo Steinwart , Andreas Christmann

While modern large-scale datasets often consist of heterogeneous subpopulations -- for example, multiple demographic groups or multiple text corpora -- the standard practice of minimizing average loss fails to guarantee uniformly low losses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 John Duchi , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Hongseok Namkoong

Structural matrix-variate observations routinely arise in diverse fields such as multi-layer network analysis and brain image clustering. While data of this type have been extensively investigated with fruitful outcomes being delivered, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Dong Xia

Minimax lower bounds are pessimistic in nature: for any given estimator, minimax lower bounds yield the existence of a worst-case target vector $\beta^*_{worst}$ for which the prediction error of the given estimator is bounded from below.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Pierre C Bellec

Despite the ubiquitous use of stochastic optimization algorithms in machine learning, the precise impact of these algorithms and their dynamics on generalization performance in realistic non-convex settings is still poorly understood. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 Liam Hodgkinson , Umut Şimşekli , Rajiv Khanna , Michael W. Mahoney

In experimental design, we are given a large collection of vectors, each with a hidden response value that we assume derives from an underlying linear model, and we wish to pick a small subset of the vectors such that querying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Michał Dereziński , Kenneth L. Clarkson , Michael W. Mahoney , Manfred K. Warmuth

We explore and compare a variety of definitions for privacy and disclosure limitation in statistical estimation and data analysis, including (approximate) differential privacy, testing-based definitions of privacy, and posterior guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Rina Foygel Barber , John C. Duchi

This paper provides an introductory overview of how one may employ importance sampling effectively as a tool for solving stochastic optimization formulations incorporating tail risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk. Approximating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

This paper deals with the scenario approach to robust optimization. This relies on a random sampling of the possibly infinite number of constraints induced by uncertainties in the parameters of an optimization problem. Solving the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Fabien Lauer

We extend the traditional worst-case, minimax analysis of stochastic convex optimization by introducing a localized form of minimax complexity for individual functions. Our main result gives function-specific lower and upper bounds on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-27 Yuancheng Zhu , Sabyasachi Chatterjee , John Duchi , John Lafferty