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An epidemic model, where the dispersal is approximated by nonlocal diffusion operator and spatial domain has one ?xed boundary and one free boundary, is considered in this paper. Firstly, using some elementary analysis instead of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Lei Li , Mingxin Wang

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

We consider a spatial model related to bond percolation for the spread of a disease that includes variation in the susceptibility to infection. We work on a lattice with random bond strengths and show that with strong disorder, i.e. a wide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. P. Warren , L. M. Sander , I. M. Sokolov

We propose a new mathematical model for the spread of Zika virus. Special attention is paid to the transmission of microcephaly. Numerical simulations show the accuracy of the model with respect to the Zika outbreak occurred in Brazil.

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-30 Faical Ndairou , Ivan Area , Juan J. Nieto , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Zika virus (ZIKV), a disease spread primarily through the Aedes aegypti mosquito, was identified in Brazil in 2015 and was declared a global health emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO). Epidemiologists often use common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-27 Derek Lo , Briton Park

In the present paper, we study the dynamics of a nine compartmental vector-host model for Zika virus infection where the predatory fish Gambusia Affinis is introduced into the system to control the zika infection by preying on the vector.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Sachin Kumar , Shikha Jain

Understanding epidemic dynamics in urban environments requires models that capture interactions across space and time while incorporating biological constraints. In this work, we propose a probabilistic spatiotemporal framework based on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-15 Marcílio Ferreira dos Santos , Cleiton de Lima Ricardo

Contemporary epidemiological models often involve spatial variation, providing an avenue to investigate the averaged dynamics of individual movements. In this work, we extend a recent model by Vaziry, Kolokolnikov, and Kevrekidis [Royal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-01 Maryam Ahmadpoortorkamani , Alexei Cheviakov

This paper concerns the sharp asymptotic profiles of the solution of a diffusive epidemic model with one free boundary and one fixed boundary which is subject to the homogeneous Dirichlet boundary condition and Neumann boundary condition,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Xueping Li , Lei Li , Mingxin Wang

We introduce a new percolation model to describe and analyze the spread of an epidemic on a general directed and locally finite graph. We assign a two-dimensional random weight vector to each vertex of the graph in such a way that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-30 Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

This paper focus on the diffusive eco-epidemiological prey-predator model with infectious diseases in prey, and with the homogeneous Neumann and Dirichlet boundary conditions, respectively. When boundary conditions are homogeneous Neumann…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mingxin Wang

In this paper, a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to model the spatial spreading of West Nile virus in vector mosquitoes and host birds in North America. Infection dynamics are based on a simplified model for cross infection between…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu

We consider the development of hyperbolic transport models for the propagation in space of an epidemic phenomenon described by a classical compartmental dynamics. The model is based on a kinetic description at discrete velocities of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-12 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi

Vector-transmitted diseases such as dengue fever and chikungunya have been spreading rapidly in many parts of the world. The Zika virus has been known since 1947 and invaded South America in 2013. It can be transmitted not only by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-23 Fred Brauer , Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Anuj Mubayi , Sherry Towers

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

In this paper we put forward a viral propagation model with nonlinear infection rate and free boundaries and investigate the dynamical properties. This model is composed of two ordinary differential equations and one partial differential…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-27 Lei Li , Siyu Liu , Mingxin Wang

After their re-emergence in the last decades, dengue fever and other vector-borne diseases are a potential threat to the lives of millions of people. Based on a data set of dengue cases in the Brazilian city of Fortaleza, collected from…

We present an epidemiological model for vector-borne diseases that includes within-host viral load and antibody dynamics using structured transport equations. By incorporating the internal dynamics into the infected and recovered host…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Paulo Amorim , Maria Soledad Aronna , Debora de Oliveira Medeiros

Dengue remains one of Brazil's major epidemiological challenges, marked by strong intra-urban inequalities and the influence of climatic and socio-environmental factors. This study analyzed confirmed dengue cases in Recife from 2015 to 2024…

The majority of research on epidemics relies on models which are formulated in continuous-time. However, real-world epidemic data is gathered and processed in a digital manner, which is more accurately described by discrete-time epidemic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Bastian Prasse , Piet Van Mieghem