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With the intensification of global climate change, accurate prediction of weather indicators is of great significance in disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and transportation. Precipitation, as one of the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Yuchen Wang , Pengfei Jia , Zhitao Shu , Keyan Liu , Abdul Rashid Mohamed Shariff

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Mid-Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) are moist synoptic systems with distinct mid tropospheric vorticity maxima and weak signatures in the lower troposphere. Composites and statistics of MTCs over the tropics are constructed and compared with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-08-25 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

Machine learning models can achieve high predictive accuracy in hydrological applications but often lack physical interpretability. The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) provides a physics-aware artificial intelligence (AI) framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Mohammad A. Farmani , Hoshin V. Gupta , Ali Behrangi , Muhammad Jawad , Sadaf Moghisi , Guo-Yue Niu

In the present tropical atmosphere, precipitation typically exhibits noisy, small-amplitude fluctuations about an average. However, recent cloud-resolving simulations show that in a hothouse climate, precipitation can shift to a regime…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-22 Da Yang , Dorian S. Abbot , Seth Seidel

Hourly rainfall extremes cause some of the most destructive weather disasters, yet numerical weather prediction models still struggle to forecast them, and a physical basis for their predictability remains unclear. Here, we identify a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Bijit Kumar Banerjee , Devabrat Sharma , Mahen Konwar , Simanta Das , Utpal Sarma , B. N. Goswami

To elucidate how land surface state and soil moisture dynamics regulate moist convection, and how convective rainfall subsequently reshapes surface and root-zone hydrology, we develop a stochastic dynamical model that couples soil moisture,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Elizabeth Cultra , Jun Yin , Mark Bartlett , Amilcare Porporato

Results of direct numerical simulations have been used to show that intensive thermal convection in a horizontal layer and on a hemisphere can be described by the distributed chaos approach. The vorticity and helicity dominated distributed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-22 A. Bershadskii

Earth's distant past and potentially its future include extremely warm "hothouse" climate states, but little is known about how the atmosphere behaves in such states. One distinguishing characteristic of hothouse climates is that they…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-08 Jacob Seeley , Robin Wordsworth

We show that radiative cooling profiles, when described in temperature coordinates, are insensitive to surface temperature $T_s$. We argue this theoretically as well as confirm it in cloud-resolving simulations of radiative convective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-10 Nadir Jeevanjee , David M. Romps

Moist processes are among the most important drivers of atmospheric dynamics,and scale analysis and asymptotics are cornerstones of theoretical meteorology. Accounting for moist processes in systematic scale analyses therefore seems of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-06-16 Sabine Hittmeir , Rupert Klein

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Observed changes such as increasing global temperatures and the intensification of the global water cycle in the 20th century are also robust results of coupled general circulation models. In spite of this success model-to-model variability…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Beate G. Liepert , Michael Previdi

While many modern studies are dedicated to ML-based large-sample hydrologic modeling, these efforts have not necessarily translated into predictive improvements that are grounded in enhanced physical-conceptual understanding. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Yuan-Heng Wang , Yang Yang , Fabio Ciulla , Hoshin V. Gupta , Charuleka Varadharajan

In this study, the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) is employed for downscaling the precipitation (PREC), maximum temperature (T max ) and minimum temperature (T min ) over Krishna River Basin (KRB). The Canadian Earth System Model,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Nandikanti Siva Sai Syam , Akshay Sunil , Subbarao Pichuka , Anirban Mandal

Soil moisture-precipitation (SM-PPT) feedbacks at the mesoscale represent a major challenge for numerical weather prediction, especially for subtropical regions that exhibit large variability in surface SM. How does surface heterogeneity,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-11 Divyansh Chug , Francina Dominguez , Christopher M Taylor , Cornelia Klein , Stephen W Nesbitt

The formation of Middle Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) that are responsible for a large portion of annual precipitation and extreme rainfall events over western India is studied using an unsupervised machine learning algorithm and cyclone…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-16 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

In order to explore the effects of climate change on atmospheric convection and the water cycle, we develop and analyse an extension of the Rainy-B\'enard model, which is itself a moist version of the Rayleigh-B\'enard model of dry…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Gregory N. Dritschel , Steven M. Tobias , Douglas J. Parker , Lorenzo Tomassini

Cloud processes are the largest source of uncertainty in quantifying the global temperature response to carbon dioxide rise. Still, the role of precipitation efficiency (PE) -- surface rain per unit column -- integrated condensation -- is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-22 Ryan Li , Joshua Studholme , Alexey Fedorov , Trude Storelvmo

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi