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We develop a model of social learning from overabundant information: Short-lived agents sequentially choose from a large set of (flexibly correlated) information sources for prediction of an unknown state. Signal realizations are public. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Annie Liang , Xiaosheng Mu

Much research has been conducted to securely outsource multiple parties' data aggregation to an untrusted aggregator without disclosing each individual's data, or to enable multiple parties to jointly aggregate their data while preserving…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-11-23 Taeho Jung , XuFei Mao , Xiang-Yang Li , Shaojie Tang , Wei Gong , Lan Zhang

The paper studies derivative asset analysis in structural credit risk models where the asset value of the firm is not fully observable. It is shown that in order to compute the price dynamics of traded securities one needs to solve a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-03 Ruediger Frey , Lars Roesler , Dan Lu

The representations of conditional entropy and conditional mutual information are significant in explaining the unique effects among variables. While previous studies based on conditional contrastive sampling have effectively removed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Keng Hou Leong , Yuxuan Xiu , Wai Kin , Chan

I consider the monopolistic pricing of informational good. A buyer's willingness to pay for information is from inferring the unknown payoffs of actions in decision making. A monopolistic seller and the buyer each observes a private signal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2018-10-18 Weijie Zhong

This paper investigates third-degree price discrimination under endogenous market segmentation. Segmenting a market requires access to information about consumers, and this information comes with a cost. I explore the trade-offs between the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-11 Irfan Tekdir

We study information elicitation in cost-function-based combinatorial prediction markets when the market maker's utility for information decreases over time. In the sudden revelation setting, it is known that some piece of information will…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-31 Miroslav Dudík , Rafael Frongillo , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

The ability to adequately model risks is crucial for insurance companies. The method of "Copula-based hierarchical risk aggregation" by Arbenz et al. offers a flexible way in doing so and has attracted much attention recently. We briefly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Fabio Derendinger

In this paper, I develop a refinement of stability for matching markets with incomplete information. I introduce Information-Credible Pairwise Stability (ICPS), a solution concept in which deviating pairs can use credible, costly tests to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Kaibalyapati Mishra

Building on topological data analysis and expert knowledge, this study introduces a Mapper-based approach to cluster agents based on their tendency to be influenced by information spread. The context of our paper is financial markets with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Anubha Goel , Henri Hansen , Juho Kanniainen

We consider the design of prediction market mechanisms known as automated market makers. We show that we can design these mechanisms via the mold of \emph{exponential family distributions}, a popular and well-studied probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Jacob Abernethy , Sindhu Kutty , Sébastien Lahaie , Rahul Sami

Federated learning has become a widely used paradigm for collaboratively training a common model among different participants with the help of a central server that coordinates the training. Although only the model parameters or other model…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Raouf Kerkouche , Gergely Ács , Mario Fritz

An information-theoretic approach to irregular repetition slotted ALOHA (IRSA) is proposed. In contrast with previous works, in which IRSA analysis is conducted only based on quantities that are typical of collision models such as the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Enrico Paolini , Lorenzo Valentini , Velio Tralli , Marco Chiani

We consider a market of risky financial assets whose participants are an informed trader, a representative uninformed trader, and noisy liquidity providers. We prove the existence of a market-clearing equilibrium when the insider…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-02 Michail Anthropelos , Scott Robertson

This study explores a new mathematical operator, symbolized as $\cupplus$, for information aggregation, aimed at enhancing traditional methods by directly amalgamating probability distributions. This operator facilitates the combination of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Heyang Gong

Sharing systems have facilitated the redistribution of underused resources by providing convenient online marketplaces for individual sellers and buyers. However, sellers in these systems may not fully disclose the information of their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Ningning Ding , Zhixuan Fang , Jianwei Huang

Correlation clustering is a flexible framework for partitioning data based solely on pairwise similarity or dissimilarity information, without requiring the number of clusters as input. However, in many practical scenarios, these pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Linus Aronsson , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Configurational information is generated when three or more sources of variance interact. The variations not only disturb each other relationally, but by selecting upon each other, they are also positioned in a configuration. A…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-10 Loet Leydesdorff

When the available statistical information is imperfect, it is dangerous to follow standard optimisation procedures to construct an optimal portfolio, which usually leads to a strong concentration of the weights on very few assets. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters , Jean-Pierre Aguilar

We give efficient "collaboration protocols" through which two parties, who observe different features about the same instances, can interact to arrive at predictions that are more accurate than either could have obtained on their own. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Natalie Collina , Ira Globus-Harris , Surbhi Goel , Varun Gupta , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi