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We show how to apply Sobol's method of global sensitivity analysis to measure the influence exerted by a set of nodes' evidence on a quantity of interest expressed by a Bayesian network. Our method exploits the network structure so as to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Biomechanical models often need to describe very complex systems, organs or diseases, and hence also include a large number of parameters. One of the attractive features of physics-based models is that in those models (most) parameters have…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Barbara Wirthl , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Jonas Nitzler , Bernhard A. Schrefler , Wolfgang A. Wall

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is used to quantify the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. Prior to performing GSA, the user must specify (or implicitly assume), a probability distribution to model the uncertainty,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) quantifies the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. The Sobol' indices, a commonly used tool in GSA, seek to do this by attributing to each variable its relative contribution to the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gildas Mazo

Global sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the influence of uncertain input parameters on the response variability of a numerical model. The common quantitative methods are applicable to computer codes with scalar input variables. This…

Applications · Statistics 2008-06-09 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Pierre Etoré , Clémentine Prieur , Dang Khoi Pham , Long Li

Variance based global sensitivity analysis measures the relevance of inputs to a single output using Sobol' indices. This paper extends the definition in a natural way to multiple outputs, directly measuring the relevance of inputs to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Robert A. Milton , Solomon F. Brown

Sensitivity analysis measures the influence of a Bayesian network's parameters on a quantity of interest defined by the network, such as the probability of a variable taking a specific value. Various sensitivity measures have been defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

The global sensitivity analysis method, used to quantify the influence of uncertain input variables on the response variability of a numerical model, is applicable to deterministic computer code (for which the same set of input variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-08 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet , Amandine Marrel

Previous work on sensitivity analysis in Bayesian networks has focused on single parameters, where the goal is to understand the sensitivity of queries to single parameter changes, and to identify single parameter changes that would enforce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Hei Chan , Adnan Darwiche

The effect of inaccuracies in the parameters of a dynamic Bayesian network can be investigated by subjecting the network to a sensitivity analysis. Having detailed the resulting sensitivity functions in our previous work, we now study the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Theodore Charitos , Linda C. van der Gaag

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnes Lagnoux-Renaudie , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

Global sensitivity analysis is a set of methods aiming at quantifying the contribution of an uncertain input parameter of the model (or combination of parameters) on the variability of the response. We consider here the estimation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Viet Chi Tran , Gwenaëlle Castellan , Anthony Cousien , Chi Tran

Sensitivity analysis measures the influence of a Bayesian network's parameters on a quantity of interest defined by the network, such as the probability of a variable taking a specific value. In particular, the so-called sensitivity value…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Global sensitivity analysis aims at determining which uncertain input parameters of a computational model primarily drives the variance of the output quantities of interest. Sobol' indices are now routinely applied in this context when the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 R. Schöbi , B. Sudret

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Areski Cousin , Alexandre Janon , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ibrahima Niang

The global sensitivity analysis of a complex numerical model often calls for the estimation of variance-based importance measures, named Sobol' indices. Metamodel-based techniques have been developed in order to replace the cpu…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-22 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Michel Jullien , Beatrice Laurent , Elena Volkova

Sobol indices are a widespread quantitative measure for variance-based global sensitivity analysis, but computing and utilizing them remains challenging for high-dimensional systems. We propose the tensor train decomposition (TT) as a…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Enrique G. Paredes , Renato Pajarola

Complex computer codes are widely used in science and engineering to model physical phenomena. Furthermore, it is common that they have a large number of input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify those which have the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela , Bertrand Iooss
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