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Root cause analysis (RCA) is essential for diagnosing failures within complex software systems to ensure system reliability. The highly distributed and interdependent nature of modern cloud-based systems often complicates RCA efforts,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Evelien Riddell , James Riddell , Gengyi Sun , Michał Antkiewicz , Krzysztof Czarnecki

Causal discovery aims to recover information about an unobserved causal graph from the observable data it generates. Layerings are orderings of the variables which place causes before effects. In this paper, we provide ways to recover…

This paper introduces a new structural causal model tailored for representing threshold-based IT systems and presents a new algorithm designed to rapidly detect root causes of anomalies in such systems. When root causes are not causally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Lei Zan , Charles K. Assaad , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier , Ali Aït-Bachir

Root Cause Analysis (RCA) is becoming increasingly crucial for ensuring the reliability of microservice systems. However, performing RCA on modern microservice systems can be challenging due to their large scale, as they usually comprise…

The recent increase in the scale and complexity of software systems has introduced new challenges to the time series monitoring and anomaly detection process. A major drawback of existing anomaly detection methods is that they lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

In this paper, the causal bandit problem is investigated, with the objective of maximizing the long-term reward by selecting an optimal sequence of interventions on nodes in an unknown causal graph. It is assumed that both the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Chen Peng , Di Zhang , Urbashi Mitra

Causal structure discovery from observational data is fundamental to the causal understanding of autonomous systems such as medical decision support systems, advertising campaigns and self-driving cars. This is essential to solve well-known…

Entropic causal inference is a recent framework for learning the causal graph between two variables from observational data by finding the information-theoretically simplest structural explanation of the data, i.e., the model with smallest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Spencer Compton , Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz , Murat Kocaoglu

Detecting failures and identifying their root causes promptly and accurately is crucial for ensuring the availability of microservice systems. A typical failure troubleshooting pipeline for microservices consists of two phases: anomaly…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Luan Pham , Huong Ha , Hongyu Zhang

Causal discovery from i.i.d. observational data is known to be generally ill-posed. We demonstrate that if we have access to the distribution {induced} by a structural causal model, and additional data from (in the best case) \textit{only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francesco Montagna

This work is motivated by the following problem: Can we identify the disease-causing gene in a patient affected by a monogenic disorder? This problem is an instance of root cause discovery. In particular, we aim to identify the intervened…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jinzhou Li , Benjamin B. Chu , Ines F. Scheller , Julien Gagneur , Marloes H. Maathuis

Localizing the root cause of network faults is crucial to network operation and maintenance. However, due to the complicated network architectures and wireless environments, as well as limited labeled data, accurately localizing the true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Chaoli Zhang , Zhiqiang Zhou , Yingying Zhang , Linxiao Yang , Kai He , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Correspondence analysis (CA) is a popular technique to visualize the relationship between two categorical variables. CA uses the data from a two-way contingency table and is affected by the presence of outliers. The supplementary points…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Qianqian Qi , David J. Hessen , Aike N. Vonk , Peter G. M. van der Heijden

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a fundamental tool for analyzing multivariate data. Here the focus is on dimension reduction to the principal subspace, characterized by its projection matrix. The classical principal subspace can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Identifying the underlying reason for a failing dynamic process or otherwise anomalous observation is a fundamental challenge, yet has numerous industrial applications. Identifying the failure-causing sub-system using causal inference, one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Juliane Weilbach , Sebastian Gerwinn , Karim Barsim , Martin Fränzle

When integrating computational tools such as automatic segmentation into clinical practice, it is of utmost importance to be able to assess the level of accuracy on new data, and in particular, to detect when an automatic method fails.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-02-14 Vanya V. Valindria , Ioannis Lavdas , Wenjia Bai , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Eric O. Aboagye , Andrea G. Rockall , Daniel Rueckert , Ben Glocker

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

Diagnosing the root cause of an anomaly in a complex interconnected system is a pressing problem in today's cloud services and industrial operations. We propose In-Distribution Interventions (IDI), a novel algorithm that predicts root cause…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Ashutosh Srivastava , Sunita Sarawagi , Amit Sharma

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama