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This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

The majority of studies in the field of AI guided financial trading focus on purely applying machine learning algorithms to continuous historical price and technical analysis data. However, due to non-stationary and high volatile nature of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-03 Ling Qi , Matloob Khushi , Josiah Poon

Stock prices forecasting has always been a challenging task. Although many research projects try to address the problem, few of them pay attention to the varying degrees of dependencies between stock prices. In this paper, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Yuanzhe Jia , Ali Anaissi , Basem Suleiman

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant variability and uncertainty in modern power systems, making accurate state prediction critical for reliable grid operation. Conventional forecasting methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Dhruv Suri , Mohak Mangal

This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

Stock trading has always been a key economic indicator in modern society and a primary source of profit for financial giants such as investment banks, quantitative trading firms, and hedge funds. Discovering the underlying patterns within…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Fang Liu , Shaobo Guo , Qianwen Xing , Xinye Sha , Ying Chen , Yuhui Jin , Qi Zheng , Chang Yu

Gating is a key feature in modern neural networks including LSTMs, GRUs and sparsely-gated deep neural networks. The backbone of such gated networks is a mixture-of-experts layer, where several experts make regression decisions and gating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Ashok Vardhan Makkuva , Sewoong Oh , Sreeram Kannan , Pramod Viswanath

Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility, and the complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Akhila Mamillapalli , Bayode Ogunleye , Sonia Timoteo Inacio , Olamilekan Shobayo

Volatility, which indicates the dispersion of returns, is a crucial measure of risk and is hence used extensively for pricing and discriminating between different financial investments. As a result, accurate volatility prediction receives…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-02 Zeda Xu , John Liechty , Sebastian Benthall , Nicholas Skar-Gislinge , Christopher McComb

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

Prediction of stock groups' values has always been attractive and challenging for shareholders. This paper concentrates on the future prediction of stock market groups. Four groups named diversified financials, petroleum, non-metallic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Mojtaba Nabipour , Pooyan Nayyeri , Hamed Jabani , Amir Mosavi

Speech recognition is largely taking advantage of deep learning, showing that substantial benefits can be obtained by modern Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). The most popular RNNs are Long Short-Term Memory (LSTMs), which typically reach…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Mirco Ravanelli , Philemon Brakel , Maurizio Omologo , Yoshua Bengio

Accurate stock price prediction is crucial for investors and financial institutions, yet the complexity of the stock market makes it highly challenging. This study aims to construct an effective model to enhance the prediction ability of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zi-xi Hu , Bao Shen , Yiwen Hu , Chen Zhao

Financial models have increasingly become popular in recent times, and the focus of researchers has been to find the perfect model which fits all circumstances; however, this has not been thoroughly achieved, and as a result, many financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Sydney Anuyah Mary Akinyemi , Chika Yinka-Banjo

Recurrent neural networks with a gating mechanism such as an LSTM or GRU are powerful tools to model sequential data. In the mechanism, a forget gate, which was introduced to control information flow in a hidden state in the RNN, has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-08 Kentaro Ohno , Atsutoshi Kumagai

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and its variations such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), have become standard building blocks for learning online data of sequential nature in many research areas, including…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Enmao Diao , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

Modern high-frequency trading (HFT) environments are characterized by sudden price spikes that present both risk and opportunity, but conventional financial models often fail to capture the required fine temporal structure. Spiking Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Brian Ezinwoke , Oliver Rhodes

Stock price movement prediction is commonly accepted as a very challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Previous works typically predict the stock price mainly based on its own information, neglecting the cross…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-16 Jiexia Ye , Juanjuan Zhao , Kejiang Ye , Chengzhong Xu

Stock prices are highly volatile and sudden changes in trends are often very problematic for traditional forecasting models to handle. The standard Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks are regarded as the state-of-the-art models for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Debasrita Chakraborty , Susmita Ghosh , Ashish Ghosh