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The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which are a powerful scheme for modeling temporal and sequential data need to capture long-term dependencies on datasets and represent them in hidden layers with a powerful model to capture more information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Andros Tjandra , Sakriani Sakti , Ruli Manurung , Mirna Adriani , Satoshi Nakamura

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

As financial markets grow increasingly complex in the big data era, accurate stock prediction has become more critical. Traditional time series models, such as GRUs, have been widely used but often struggle to capture the intricate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Sheng Xiang , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Several studies have discussed the impact different optimization techniques in the context of time series forecasting across different Neural network architectures. This paper examines the effectiveness of Adam and Nesterov's Accelerated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-04 Ahmad Makinde

Stock price prediction is a challenging problem in the field of finance and receives widespread attention. In recent years, with the rapid development of technologies such as deep learning and graph neural networks, more research methods…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Graph processes exhibit a temporal structure determined by the sequence index and and a spatial structure determined by the graph support. To learn from graph processes, an information processing architecture must then be able to exploit…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Luana Ruiz , Fernando Gama , Alejandro Ribeiro

Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) are used to model US recessions from 1967 to 2021. Their predictive performances are compared to those of the traditional linear models. The out-of-sample performance suggests the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-24 Seulki Chung

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been proposed for a wide range of graph-related learning tasks. In particular, in recent years, an increasing number of GNN systems were applied to predict molecular properties. However, a direct impediment…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-23 Yingfang Yuan , Wenjun Wang , Wei Pang

Predicting fund performance is beneficial to both investors and fund managers, and yet is a challenging task. In this paper, we have tested whether deep learning models can predict fund performance more accurately than traditional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-01 Nghia Chu , Binh Dao , Nga Pham , Huy Nguyen , Hien Tran

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

We investigate the predictability of several range-based stock volatility estimators, and compare them to the standard close-to-close estimator which is most commonly acknowledged as the volatility. The patterns of volatility changes are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-21 Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Stock return prediction is fundamental to financial decision-making, yet traditional time series models fail to capture the complex interdependencies between companies in modern markets. We propose the Full-State Graph Convolutional LSTM…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-09 Chang Liu

We introduce Graph-Induced Sum-Product Networks (GSPNs), a new probabilistic framework for graph representation learning that can tractably answer probabilistic queries. Inspired by the computational trees induced by vertices in the context…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Federico Errica , Mathias Niepert

The research paper empirically investigates several machine learning algorithms to forecast stock prices depending on insider trading information. Insider trading offers special insights into market sentiment, pointing to upcoming changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Amitabh Chakravorty , Nelly Elsayed

The beginning of 2021 saw a surge in volatility for certain stocks such as GameStop company stock (Ticker GME under NYSE). GameStop stock increased around 10 fold from its decade-long average to its peak at \$485. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Yigit Alparslan , Edward Kim

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab