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I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is emerging as a new statistical paradigm for addressing complex scientific inference problems. By leveraging the representational power of deep neural networks, SBI can extract the most informative…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-17 Huifang Lyu , James Alvey , Noemi Anau Montel , Mauro Pieroni , Christoph Weniger

Thought to be responsible for memory, synaptic plasticity has been widely studied in the past few decades. One example of plasticity models is the popular Spike Timing Dependent Plasticity (STDP). The huge litterature of STDP models are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-02 Pascal Helson

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

This paper proposes a data-driven model predictive control for multirotor collision avoidance considering uncertainty and an unknown model from a payload. To address this challenge, sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Jayden Dongwoo Lee , Youngjae Kim , Yoonseong Kim , Hyochoong Bang

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

The dynamics of biological systems, from proteins to cells to organisms, is complex and stochastic. To decipher their physical laws, we need to bridge between experimental observations and theoretical modeling. Thanks to progress in…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-06-05 Pierre Ronceray

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

Distribution shifts have long been regarded as troublesome external forces that a decision-maker should either counteract or conform to. An intriguing feedback phenomenon termed decision dependence arises when the deployed decision affects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Zhiyu He , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Michael Muehlebach

Interfacial fluctuations in a two-phase binary fluid mixture reveal signatures of underlying physical processes that occur within each phase and on a range of spatial and temporal scales. In this study, we investigate a model binary fluid…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-04 Samuel Z Khiangte , Triparna Sanyal , Sumantra Sarkar , Nairita Pal

This paper presents a comprehensive approach to nonlinear dynamics identification for UAVs using a combination of data-driven techniques and theoretical modeling. Two key methodologies are explored: Proportional-Derivative (PD)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-16 Bryan S. Guevara , Viviana Moya , Daniel C. Gandolfo , Juan M. Toibero

We extend the data-driven method of Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) developed by Brunton et al, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci USA 113 (2016) to the case of delay differential equations (DDEs). This is achieved in a bilevel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Antoine Sandoz , Verena Ducret , Georg A. Gottwald , Gilles Vilmart , Karl Perron

Discrete Choice Modelling serves as a robust framework for modelling human choice behaviour across various disciplines. Building a choice model is a semi structured research process that involves a combination of a priori assumptions,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-09 Gabriel Nova , Sander van Cranenburgh , Stephane Hess

Scientific machine learning for inferring dynamical systems combines data-driven modeling, physics-based modeling, and empirical knowledge. It plays an essential role in engineering design and digital twinning. In this work, we primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Pawan Goyal , Igor Pontes Duff , Peter Benner

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

This thesis focuses on the discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) from noisy and discrete time series. A major challenge is selecting the simplest possible correct model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Andonis Gerardos

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Data-driven methods of model identification are able to discern governing dynamics of a system from data. Such methods are well suited to help us learn about systems with unpredictable evolution or systems with ambiguous governing dynamics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-23 Gina Vasey , Daniel Messenger , David Bortz , Andrew Christlieb , Brian O'Shea
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