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Stochastic volatility models that treat the variance of a time series as a stochastic process have proven to be important tools for analyzing dynamic variability. Current methods for fitting and conducting inference on stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Gehui Zhang , Gong Tang , Lori Scott , Robert T Krafty

In control problems and basic scientific modeling, it is important to compare observations with dynamical simulations. For example, comparing two neural systems can shed light on the nature of emergent computations in the brain and deep…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-04 Ann Huang , Mitchell Ostrow , Satpreet H. Singh , Leo Kozachkov , Ila Fiete , Kanaka Rajan

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

Differential equations based on physical principals are used to represent complex dynamic systems in all fields of science and engineering. Through repeated use in both academics and industry, these equations have been shown to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-08 Joshua S. North , Christopher K. Wikle , Erin M. Schliep

Discrete choice models are essential for modelling various decision-making processes in human behaviour. However, the specification of these models has depended heavily on domain knowledge from experts, and the fully automated but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Fumiyasu Makinoshima , Tatsuya Mitomi , Fumiya Makihara , Eigo Segawa

Dynamic treatment regimes operationalize the clinical decision process as a sequence of functions, one for each clinical decision, where each function takes as input up-to-date patient information and gives as output a single recommended…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-08 Eric B. Laber , Daniel J. Lizotte , Bradley Ferguson

Many studies on acoustic radiation forces focus on characterizing the behavior of acoustic fields. However, the dynamic response of objects, particularly those larger than the wavelength, remains underexplored. Here we bridge this gap by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-06 Mehdi Akbarzadeh , Ben Halkon , Sebastian Oberst

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

In the study of complex dynamical systems, understanding and accurately modeling the underlying physical processes is crucial for predicting system behavior and designing effective interventions. Yet real-world systems exhibit pronounced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-15 Ridwan Olabiyi , Han Hu , Ashif Iquebal

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

Neural spike trains, which are sequences of very brief jumps in voltage across the cell membrane, were one of the motivating applications for the development of point process methodology. Early work required the assumption of stationarity,…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-01 Robert E. Kass , Ryan C. Kelly , Wei-Liem Loh

Learning interpretable representations of neural dynamics at a population level is a crucial first step to understanding how observed neural activity relates to perception and behavior. Models of neural dynamics often focus on either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Noga Mudrik , Yenho Chen , Eva Yezerets , Christopher J. Rozell , Adam S. Charles

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Opinion formation and propagation are crucial phenomena in social networks and have been extensively studied across several disciplines. Traditionally, theoretical models of opinion dynamics have been proposed to describe the interactions…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Maya Okawa , Tomoharu Iwata

Humans often juggle multiple, sometimes conflicting objectives and shift their priorities as circumstances change, rather than following a fixed objective function. In contrast, most computational decision-making and multi-objective RL…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Xianwei Cao , Dou Quan , Zhenliang Zhang , Shuang Wang

This paper presents a constructive algorithm that achieves successful one-shot learning of hidden spike-patterns in a competitive detection task. It has previously been shown (Masquelier et al., 2008) that spike-timing-dependent plasticity…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-31 Toby Lightheart , Steven Grainger , Tien-Fu Lu

Obtaining predictive low-order models is a central challenge in fluid dynamics. Data-driven frameworks have been widely used to obtain low-order models of aerodynamic systems; yet, resulting models tend to yield predictions that grow…

Neural Processes combine the strengths of neural networks and Gaussian processes to achieve both flexible learning and fast prediction in stochastic processes. However, a large class of problems comprises underlying temporal dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Gautam Singh , Jaesik Yoon , Youngsung Son , Sungjin Ahn
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