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Related papers: Dynamic Structural Causal Models

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Soft sensor modeling plays a crucial role in process monitoring. Causal feature selection can enhance the performance of soft sensor models in industrial applications. However, existing methods ignore two critical characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li , Enrico Zio

Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a data-driven technique to identify a low dimensional linear time invariant dynamics underlying high-dimensional data. For systems in which such underlying low-dimensional dynamics is time-varying, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Mustaffa Alfatlawi , Vaibhav Srivastava

In recent years, increasingly complex computational models are being built to describe physical systems which has led to increased use of surrogate models to reduce computational cost. In problems related to Structural Health Monitoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Nicholas E. Silionis , Theodora Liangou , Konstantinos N. Anyfantis

Data-driven inference of the generative dynamics underlying a set of observed time series is of growing interest in machine learning and the natural sciences. In neuroscience, such methods promise to alleviate the need to handcraft models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Eric Volkmann , Alena Brändle , Daniel Durstewitz , Georgia Koppe

Causal reasoning provides a language to ask important interventional and counterfactual questions beyond purely statistical association. In medical imaging, for example, we may want to study the causal effect of genetic, environmental, or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Rajat Rasal , Daniel C. Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker

The stochastic interpolant framework offers a powerful approach for constructing generative models based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) or stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to transform arbitrary data distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yuhao Liu , Yu Chen , Rui Hu , Longbo Huang

Causal structure learning with data from multiple contexts carries both opportunities and challenges. Opportunities arise from considering shared and context-specific causal graphs enabling to generalize and transfer causal knowledge across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Martin Rabel , Wiebke Günther , Jakob Runge , Andreas Gerhardus

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

Spatio-temporal signals arising from event-driven biological processes, such as surface electromyography (sEMG), exhibit asynchronous and highly structured activation patterns that are challenging to model using conventional discrete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Magnus Bengtsson

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Most neural models of causality assume static causal graphs, failing to capture the dynamic and sparse nature of physical interactions where causal relationships emerge and dissolve over time. We introduce the Causal Process Framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Turan Orujlu , Christian Gumbsch , Martin V. Butz , Charley M Wu

In this paper, we consider the problem of causal order discovery within the framework of monotonic Structural Causal Models (SCMs), which have gained attention for their potential to enable causal inference and causal discovery from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Ali Izadi , Martin Ester

Complex systems span multiple spatial and temporal scales, making their dynamics challenging to understand and predict. This challenge is especially daunting when one wants to study localized and/or rare events. Advances in dynamical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-22 Chenyu Dong , Gabriele Messori , Davide Faranda , Adriano Gualandi , Valerio Lucarini , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Chain Event Graphs (CEGs) are a family of event-based graphical models that represent context-specific conditional independences typically exhibited by asymmetric state space problems. The class of continuous time dynamic CEGs (CT-DCEGs)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

We consider the problem of learning the structure of a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) model in the presence of latent variables. We define latent factor causal models (LFCMs) as a restriction on causal DAG models with latent variables,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-06 Chandler Squires , Annie Yun , Eshaan Nichani , Raj Agrawal , Caroline Uhler

Complex systems can be modelled at various levels of detail. Ideally, causal models of the same system should be consistent with one another in the sense that they agree in their predictions of the effects of interventions. We formalise…

Real world systems evolve in continuous-time according to their underlying causal relationships, yet their dynamics are often unknown. Existing approaches to learning such dynamics typically either discretize time -- leading to poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Nicholas Tagliapietra , Katharina Ensinger , Christoph Zimmer , Osman Mian
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