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In contrast to the neutral population cycles of the deterministic mean-field Lotka--Volterra rate equations, including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions yields complex spatio-temporal structures…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-16 Ulrich Dobramysl , Uwe C. Tauber

Latent world models allow agents to reason about complex environments with high-dimensional observations. However, adapting to new environments and effectively leveraging previous knowledge remain significant challenges. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-23 Anson Lei , Bernhard Schölkopf , Ingmar Posner

Many animal groups are heterogeneous and may even consist of individuals of different species, called mixed-species flocks. Mathematical and computational models of collective animal movement behaviour, however, typically assume that groups…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-03-27 Gokul G. Nair , Athmanathan Senthilnathan , Srikanth K. Iyer , Vishwesha Guttal

Obtaining predictive low-order models is a central challenge in fluid dynamics. Data-driven frameworks have been widely used to obtain low-order models of aerodynamic systems; yet, resulting models tend to yield predictions that grow…

We present a novel approach to investigate the long-time stochastic dynamics of multi-dimensional classical systems, in contact with a heat-bath. When the potential energy landscape is rugged, the kinetics displays a decoupling of short and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 O. Corradini , P. Faccioli , H. Orland

Long simulation times in climate sciences typically require coarse grids due to computational constraints. Nonetheless, unresolved subscale information significantly influences the prognostic variables and can not be neglected for reliable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Konrad Simon , Jörn Behrens

We consider the problem of selecting deterministic or stochastic models for a biological, ecological, or environmental dynamical process. In most cases, one prefers either deterministic or stochastic models as candidate models based on…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-26 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Understanding the relationship between population and the built environment is essential for addresing socio-spatial inequalities. While researchers have long theorized these dynamics, empirical analyses remain limited. This study develops…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Anna Brazdova , Martin Fleischmann

We study the asymptotics of a two-dimensional stochastic differential system with a degenerate diffusion matrix. This system describes the dynamics of a population where individuals contribute to the degradation of their environment through…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Pierre Collet , Claire Ecotière , Sylvie Méléard

Intraspecific trait variation has been increasingly recognized as an important factor in determining species interaction and diversity. Eco-evolutionary models have studied the distribution of trait values within a population that changes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-12 Zachary Jackson , BingKan Xue

While the use of spatial agent-based and individual-based models has flourished across many scientific disciplines, the complexities these models generate are often difficult to manage and quantify. This research reduces population-driven,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-24 John C. Stevenson

Classical approaches to ecological stability rely on fully connected interaction models, yet real ecosystems are sparse and structured--a feature that qualitatively reshapes their collective dynamics. Here, we establish a thermodynamically…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-30 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta , Roberto Mulet

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

In this paper, an attempt is made to understand the dynamics of a three-dimensional discrete fractional-order eco-epidemiological model with Holling type II functional response. We first discretize a fractional-order predator-prey-parasite…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Shuvojit Mondal , Xianbing Cao , Nandadulal Bairagi

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

This paper introduces a variational formulation of natural selection, paying special attention to the nature of "things" and the way that different "kinds" of "things" are individuated from - and influence - each other. We use the Bayesian…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-05 Karl Friston , Daniel Ari Friedman , Axel Constant , V. Bleu Knight , Thomas Parr , John O. Campbell

We introduce and test a general machine-learning-based technique for the inference of short term causal dependence between state variables of an unknown dynamical system from time series measurements of its state variables. Our technique…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-12-18 Amitava Banerjee , Jaideep Pathak , Rajarshi Roy , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

For a large family of nonautonomous scalar-delayed differential equations used in population dynamics, some criteria for permanence are given, as well as explicit upper and lower bounds for the asymptotic behavior of solutions. The method…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Teresa Faria