Related papers: The ARR2 prior: flexible predictive prior definiti…

Priors allow us to robustify inference and to incorporate expert knowledge in Bayesian hierarchical models. This is particularly important when there are random effects that are hard to identify based on observed data. The challenge lies in…

We investigate shrinkage priors on power spectral densities for complex-valued circular-symmetric autoregressive processes. We construct shrinkage predictive power spectral densities, which asymptotically dominate (i) the Bayesian…

We develop a Bayesian methodology aimed at simultaneously estimating low-rank and row-sparse matrices in a high-dimensional multiple-response linear regression model. We consider a carefully devised shrinkage prior on the matrix of…

It is common to hold prior beliefs that are not characterized by points in the parameter space but instead are relational in nature and can be described by a linear subspace. While some previous work has been done to account for such prior…

Spatially dependent data arises in many applications, and Gaussian processes are a popular modelling choice for these scenarios. While Bayesian analyses of these problems have proven to be successful, selecting prior distributions for these…

Berger et al. (2001) and Ren et al. (2012) derived noninformative priors for Gaussian process models of spatially correlated data using the reference prior approach (Berger, Bernardo, 1991). The priors have good statistical properties and…

The main objective of this paper is to apply linear and pretest shrinkage estimation techniques to estimating the parameters of two 2-parameter Burr-XII distributions. Further more, predictions for future observations are made using both…

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

In many regression settings the unknown coefficients may have some known structure, for instance they may be ordered in space or correspond to a vectorized matrix or tensor. At the same time, the unknown coefficients may be sparse, with…

We consider sparse Bayesian estimation in the classical multivariate linear regression model with $p$ regressors and $q$ response variables. In univariate Bayesian linear regression with a single response $y$, shrinkage priors which can be…

In various applications, we deal with high-dimensional positive-valued data that often exhibits sparsity. This paper develops a new class of continuous global-local shrinkage priors tailored to analyzing gamma-distributed observations where…

Machine learning-aided clinical decision support has the potential to significantly improve patient care. However, existing efforts in this domain for principled quantification of uncertainty have largely been limited to applications of…

There is a wide variety of models in which the dimension of the parameter space is unknown. For example, in factor analysis the number of latent factors is typically not known and has to be inferred from the observed data. Although…

We develop a fully Bayesian hierarchical model for trend filtering, itself a new development in nonparametric, univariate regression. The framework more broadly applies to the generalized lasso, but focus is on Bayesian trend filtering. We…

Bayesian models provide recursive inference naturally because they can formally reconcile new data and existing scientific information. However, popular use of Bayesian methods often avoids priors that are based on exact posterior…

Quantile regression is a powerful data analysis tool that accommodates heterogeneous covariate-response relationships. We find that by coupling the asymmetric Laplace working likelihood with appropriate shrinkage priors, we can deliver…

This article considers a stable vector autoregressive (VAR) model and investigates return predictability in a Bayesian context. The VAR system comprises asset returns and the dividend-price ratio as proposed in Cochrane (2008), and allows…

In Bayesian analysis, reference priors are widely recognized for their objective nature. Yet, they often lead to intractable and improper priors, which complicates their application. Besides, informed prior elicitation methods are penalized…

We present a generative modeling approach based on the variational inference framework for likelihood-free simulation-based inference. The method leverages latent variables within variational autoencoders to efficiently estimate complex…

The Frequentist, Assisted by Bayes (FAB) framework constructs confidence regions that leverage prior information about parameter values. FAB confidence regions (FAB-CRs) have smaller volume for values of the parameter that are likely under…