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In this paper, we derive a PAC-Bayes bound on the generalisation gap, in a supervised time-series setting for a special class of discrete-time non-linear dynamical systems. This class includes stable recurrent neural networks (RNN), and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafal Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

Underdamped Langevin dynamics (ULD) is a widely-used sampler for Gibbs distributions $\pi\propto e^{-V}$, and is often empirically effective in high dimensions. However, existing non-asymptotic convergence guarantees for discretized ULD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Shiyuan Zhang , Qiwei Di , Xuheng Li , Quanquan Gu

We prove concentration inequalities and associated PAC bounds for continuous- and discrete-time additive functionals for possibly unbounded functions of multivariate, nonreversible diffusion processes. Our analysis relies on an approach via…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We establish a lower bound on the eluder dimension of generalised linear model classes, showing that standard eluder dimension-based analysis cannot lead to first-order regret bounds. To address this, we introduce a localisation method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Alireza Bakhtiari , Alex Ayoub , Samuel Robertson , David Janz , Csaba Szepesvári

Bayesian priors offer a compact yet general means of incorporating domain knowledge into many learning tasks. The correctness of the Bayesian analysis and inference, however, largely depends on accuracy and correctness of these priors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Mahdi MIlani Fard , Joelle Pineau , Csaba Szepesvari

We establish the zero-diffusion limit for both continuous and discrete aggregation models over convex and bounded domains. Compared with a similar zero-diffusion limit derived in [44], our approach is different and relies on a coupling…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Razvan C. Fetecau , Hui Huang , Daniel Messenger , Weiran Sun

Boundedness properties of operators associated with non-degenerate symmetric $\alpha$-stable, $\alpha \in (1,2)$, probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are investigated on appropriate, Euclidean or otherwise, $L^p$-spaces, $p \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Benjamin Arras , Christian Houdré

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

We focus on a stochastic learning model where the learner observes a finite set of training examples and the output of the learning process is a data-dependent distribution over a space of hypotheses. The learned data-dependent distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Omar Rivasplata , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvari , John Shawe-Taylor

Let $f(\theta, X_1),$ $ \dots,$ $ f(\theta, X_n)$ be a sequence of random elements, where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $X_1, \dots, X_n$ are independent random variables (data), and $\theta$ is a random parameter distributed according to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Ilja Kuzborskij , Kwang-Sung Jun , Yulian Wu , Kyoungseok Jang , Francesco Orabona

We explore the question whether Lipschitz functions of random variables under various forms of negative correlation satisfy concentration bounds similar to McDiarmid's inequality for independent random variables. We prove such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Kevin Garbe , Jan Vondrak

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

We derive sharper probabilistic concentration bounds for the Monte Carlo Empirical Rademacher Averages (MCERA), which are proved through recent results on the concentration of self-bounding functions. Our novel bounds are characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Leonardo Pellegrina

The developments of Rademacher complexity and PAC-Bayesian theory have been largely independent. One exception is the PAC-Bayes theorem of Kakade, Sridharan, and Tewari (2008), which is established via Rademacher complexity theory by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Jun Yang , Shengyang Sun , Daniel M. Roy

This work studies the distributionally robust evaluation of expected values over temporal data. A set of alternative measures is characterized by the causal optimal transport. We prove the strong duality and recast the causality constraint…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

We present a PAC-Bayes-style generalization bound which enables the replacement of the KL-divergence with a variety of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM). We provide instances of this bound with the IPM being the total variation metric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Ron Amit , Baruch Epstein , Shay Moran , Ron Meir

When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

We consider regression with square loss and general classes of functions without the boundedness assumption. We introduce a notion of offset Rademacher complexity that provides a transparent way to study localization both in expectation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-27 Tengyuan Liang , Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Score-based diffusion models have demonstrated outstanding empirical performance in machine learning and artificial intelligence, particularly in generating high-quality new samples from complex probability distributions. Improving the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-30 Yuchen Jiao , Gen Li

In this paper we investigate the question of estimating the Gram operator by a robust estimator from an i.i.d. sample in a separable Hilbert space and we present uniform bounds that hold under weak moment assumptions. The approach consists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-03 Ilaria Giulini
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