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Over the last decade, a wave of research has characterized the exact asymptotic risk of many high-dimensional models in the proportional regime. Two foundational results have driven this progress: Gaussian universality, which shows that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Matthew Esmaili Mallory , Kevin Han Huang , Morgane Austern

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

This paper establishes sharp dimension-free concentration and expectation bounds for the deviation of a sample cross-covariance matrix from its mean. For sub-Gaussian random vectors, we prove a high-probability operator-norm bound governed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We present a distributionally robust PAC-Bayesian framework for certifying the performance of learning-based finite-horizon controllers. While existing PAC-Bayes control literature typically assumes bounded losses and matching training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Domagoj Herceg , Duarte Antunes

We give a general recipe for derandomising PAC-Bayesian bounds using margins, with the critical ingredient being that our randomised predictions concentrate around some value. The tools we develop straightforwardly lead to margin bounds for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

In the problem of aggregation, the aim is to combine a given class of base predictors to achieve predictions nearly as accurate as the best one. In this flexible framework, no assumption is made on the structure of the class or the nature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Discrete diffusion has become a leading framework for generative modeling in various applications including language, vision, and biology. Existing convergence theory, however, exhibits fundamental limitations. KL-based analyses diverge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Kelvin Kan , Xingjian Li , Benjamin J. Zhang , Tuhin Sahai , Stanley Osher , Markos A. Katsoulakis

A sharp, distribution free, non-asymptotic result is proved for the concentration of a random function around the mean function, when the randomization is generated by a finite sequence of independent data and the random functions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Thomas Anton , Sutanuka Roy , Rabee Tourky

We establish some uniform limit results in the setting of additive regression model estimation. Our results allow to give an asymptotic 100% confidence bands for these components. These results are stated in the framework of i.i.d random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov

This note attempts to revisit the classical results on Laplace approximation in a modern non-asymptotic and dimension free form. Such an extension is motivated by applications to high dimensional statistical and optimization problems. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Operator-valued concentration inequalities are foundational to the analysis of modern high-dimensional statistics and randomized algorithms. However, standard oracle bounds are frequently limited in practice: they require explicit a priori…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We are motivated by the problem of providing strong generalization guarantees in the context of meta-learning. Existing generalization bounds are either challenging to evaluate or provide vacuous guarantees in even relatively simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Alec Farid , Anirudha Majumdar

We introduce a new PAC-Bayes oracle bound for unbounded losses that extends Cram\'er-Chernoff bounds to the PAC-Bayesian setting. The proof technique relies on controlling the tails of certain random variables involving the Cram\'er…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Ioar Casado , Luis A. Ortega , Aritz Pérez , Andrés R. Masegosa

We develop a unified Data Processing Inequality PAC-Bayesian framework -- abbreviated DPI-PAC-Bayesian -- for deriving generalization error bounds in the supervised learning setting. By embedding the Data Processing Inequality (DPI) into…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Muhan Guan , Farhad Farokhi , Jingge Zhu

We prove concentration bounds for random Euclidean combinatorial optimization problems with $p$--costs. For bipartite matching and for the (mono- and bi-partite) traveling salesperson problem in dimension $d\ge 3$, we obtain concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Matteo D'Achille , Francesco Mattesini , Dario Trevisan

Understanding and certifying the generalization performance of machine learning algorithms -- i.e. obtaining theoretical estimates of the test error from the training error -- is a central theme of statistical learning theory. Among the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sho Sonoda , Kazumi Kasaura , Yuma Mizuno , Kei Tsukamoto , Naoto Onda

We present a novel analysis of the expected risk of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification. The analysis takes correlation of predictions by ensemble members into account and provides a bound that is amenable to efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Andrés R. Masegosa , Stephan S. Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are derived via change-of-measure inequalities that transfer concentration properties from a reference measure to all posterior measures. The specific choice of change of measure determines the assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Benjamin Guedj

In this paper, we present new high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for different types of losses. Firstly, for losses with a bounded range, we recover a strengthened version of Catoni's bound that holds uniformly for all parameter values. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund