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Neural posterior estimation (NPE), a simulation-based computational approach for Bayesian inference, has shown great success in approximating complex posterior distributions. Existing NPE methods typically rely on normalizing flows, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Tianyu Chen , Vansh Bansal , James G. Scott

Generative modeling provides a powerful framework for learning data distributions. These models initially relied on probabilistic methods such as Gaussian Processes (GP) for uncertainty-aware predictions and shifted towards larger trainable…

Neural Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) have emerged as the primary framework for predicting sequences of events that occur at irregular time intervals, but their sequential nature can hamper performance for long-horizon forecasts. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Mai Zeng , Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Temporal point processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative models for continuous-time event sequences. Neural TPPs combine the fundamental ideas from point process literature with deep learning approaches, thus enabling construction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-26 Oleksandr Shchur , Ali Caner Türkmen , Tim Januschowski , Stephan Günnemann

Despite the tremendous progress in the estimation of generative models, the development of tools for diagnosing their failures and assessing their performance has advanced at a much slower pace. Recent developments have investigated metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Josip Djolonga , Mario Lucic , Marco Cuturi , Olivier Bachem , Olivier Bousquet , Sylvain Gelly

Computer simulations have proven a valuable tool for understanding complex phenomena across the sciences. However, the utility of simulators for modelling and forecasting purposes is often restricted by low data quality, as well as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Daniel Ward , Patrick Cannon , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo , Sebastian M Schmon

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Learning algorithms for natural language processing (NLP) tasks traditionally rely on manually defined relevant contextual features. On the other hand, neural network models using an only distributional representation of words have been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-11-30 Kushal Chawla , Sunil Kumar Sahu , Ashish Anand

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Discovering the neural mechanisms underpinning cognition is one of the grand challenges of neuroscience. However, previous approaches for building models of RNN dynamics that explain behaviour required iterative refinement of architectures…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-24 Puria Radmard , Paul M. Bays , Máté Lengyel

Semi-supervised semantic segmentation involves assigning pixel-wise labels to unlabeled images at training time. This is useful in a wide range of real-world applications where collecting pixel-wise labels is not feasible in time or cost.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Jianfeng Wang , Daniela Massiceti , Xiaolin Hu , Vladimir Pavlovic , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Emergence of deep neural networks (DNNs) has raised enormous attention towards artificial neural networks (ANNs) once again. They have become the state-of-the-art models and have won different machine learning challenges. Although these…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Shahriar Rezghi Shirsavar , Abdol-Hossein Vahabie , Mohammad-Reza A. Dehaqani

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

Quantifying uncertainty in predictions or, more generally, estimating the posterior conditional distribution, is a core challenge in machine learning and statistics. We introduce Convex Nonparanormal Regression (CNR), a conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Yonatan Woodbridge , Gal Elidan , Ami Wiesel

Interpretability techniques in NLP have mainly focused on understanding individual predictions using attention visualization or gradient-based saliency maps over tokens. We propose using k nearest neighbor (kNN) representations to identify…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Nazneen Fatema Rajani , Ben Krause , Wengpeng Yin , Tong Niu , Richard Socher , Caiming Xiong

Deep neural networks have become the dominant approach in natural language processing (NLP). However, in recent years, it has become apparent that there are shortcomings in systematicity that limit the performance and data efficiency of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Radha Kopparti , Tillman Weyde

Prior parameter distributions provide an elegant way to represent prior expert and world knowledge for informed learning. Previous work has shown that using such informative priors to regularize probabilistic deep learning (DL) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Christian Schlauch , Christian Wirth , Nadja Klein

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) aims at leveraging historic process execution data to predict how ongoing executions will continue up to their completion. In recent years, PPM techniques for the prediction of the next activities have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Ivan Donadello , Jonghyeon Ko , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Jan Mendling , Francesco Riva , Matthias Weidlich

Neurons in the brain communicate with each other through discrete action spikes as opposed to continuous signal transmission in artificial neural networks. Therefore, the traditional techniques for optimization of parameters in neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Sneha Aenugu

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have been widely applied to solve real-world regression problems. However, selecting optimal network structures remains a significant challenge. This study addresses this issue by linking neuron selection in DNNs…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-30 Noah Yi-Ting Hung , Li-Hsiang Lin , Vince D. Calhoun