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Recent works have shown that high probability metrics with stochastic gradient descent (SGD) exhibit informativeness and in some cases advantage over the commonly adopted mean-square error-based ones. In this work we provide a formal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Dragana Bajovic , Dusan Jakovetic , Soummya Kar

The focus of this work is on estimation of the in-degree distribution in directed networks from sampling network nodes or edges. A number of sampling schemes are considered, including random sampling with and without replacement, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-03 Nelson Antunes , Shankar Bhamidi , Tianjian Guo , Vladas Pipiras , Bang Wang

Measures of tail dependence between random variables aim to numerically quantify the degree of association between their extreme realizations. Existing tail dependence coefficients (TDCs) are based on an asymptotic analysis of relevant…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Davide Lauria , Svetlozar T. Rachev , A. Alexandre Trindade

New transportation cost inequalities are derived by means of elementary large deviation reasonings. Their dual characterization is proved; this provides an extension of a well-known result of S. Bobkov and F. G\"{o}tze. Their tensorization…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nathael Gozlan , Christian Léonard

In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinho Baik , Percy Deift , Ken McLaughlin , Peter Miller , Xin Zhou

In this paper we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical drift of a one-dimensional Brownian motion with self-repellence called the Edwards model. Our results extend earlier work in which a law of large numbers, respectively, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. van der Hofstad , F. den Hollander , W. Koenig

We study the convergence of entropically regularized optimal transport to optimal transport. The main result is concerned with the convergence of the associated optimizers and takes the form of a large deviations principle quantifying the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Espen Bernton , Promit Ghosal , Marcel Nutz

We establish a large deviation principle for the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation, providing precise control over the left tail of the height distribution for narrow wedge initial condition. Our analysis exploits an exact connection…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-15 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal , Alexandre Krajenbrink , Pierre Le Doussal , Li-Cheng Tsai

In this paper, we obtain some results on precise large deviations for non-random and random sums of widely dependent random variables with common dominatedly varying tail distribution or consistently varying tail distribution on…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Recent studies have shown that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic optimization and that the heaviness of the tails have links to the generalization error. While these studies have shed light on interesting aspects of the generalization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Anant Raj , Melih Barsbey , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

Motivated by policy gradient methods in the context of reinforcement learning, we identify a large deviation rate function for the iterates generated by stochastic gradient descent for possibly non-convex objectives satisfying a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Wouter Jongeneel , Daniel Kuhn , Mengmeng Li

We study large deviation properties of probability distributions with either a compact support or a fat tail by comparing them with q-deformed exponential distributions. Our main result is a large deviation property for probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-02 Jan Naudts , Hiroki Suyari

We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We consider extremal processes and random walks generated by heavy-tailed random vectors taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$ endowed with the $\ell_p$ metric. We establish limit theorems for the associated paths in the triangular array setting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Bochen Jin , Ilya Molchanov

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

We consider large random trees under Gibbs distributions and prove a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the distribution of degrees of vertices of the tree. The LDP rate function is given explicitly. An immediate consequence is a Law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Yuri Bakhtin , Christine Heitsch

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

We derive an annealed large deviation principle for the normalised local times of a continuous-time random walk among random conductances in a finite domain in $\Z^d$ in the spirit of Donsker-Varadhan \cite{DV75}. We work in the interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Wolfgang König , Michele Salvi , Tilman Wolff

Starting with an exact and simple geodesic, we generate approximate geodesics by summing up higher-order geodesic deviations within a General Relativistic setting, without using Newtonian and post-Newtonian approximations. We apply this…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Colistete , C. Leygnac , R. Kerner