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For a class of additive processes driven by the affine recursion $X_{n+1} = A_n X_n + B_n$, we develop a sample-path large deviations principle in the $M_1'$ topology on $D [0,1]$. We allow $B_n$ to have both signs and focus on the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bohan Chen , Chang-Han Rhee , Bert Zwart

The "infamous upper tail problem" for $r$-uniform hypergraphs is to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a fixed hypergraph $H$ in a large binomial $r$-uniform hypergraph $\boldsymbol{G}$ exceeds its expectation by a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Nicholas A. Cook , Nguyen Nguyen

Laws of large numbers, starting from certain nonequilibrium measures, have been shown for the integrated current across a bond, and a tagged particle in one-dimensional symmetric nearest-neighbor simple exclusion [Ann. Inst. Henri Poincare…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Sunder Sethuraman , S. R. S. Varadhan

We consider a bounded step size random walk in an ergodic random environment with some ellipticity, on an integer lattice of arbitrary dimension. We prove a level 3 large deviation principle, under almost every environment, with rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Firas Rassoul-Agha , Timo Seppalainen

In this paper, we establish a large deviation principle for stochastic evolution equations with reflection in an infinite dimensional ball. Weak convergence approach plays an important role.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Zdzisław Brzeźniak , Qi Li , Tusheng Zhang

The upper tail problem in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $G\sim\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ asks to estimate the probability that the number of copies of a graph $H$ in $G$ exceeds its expectation by a factor $1+\delta$. Chatterjee and Dembo…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

The analysis of extremal dependence in high dimensions has recently attracted considerable interest. Existing methodology primarily focuses on modeling and estimation of extremal dependence structures, often supported by concentration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Axel Bücher , Yeonjoon Choi , Katharina Effertz , Stanislav Volgushev

We prove a large deviation principle for the sequence of push-forwards of empirical measures in the setting of Riesz potential interactions on compact subsets K in R^d with continuous external fields. Our results are valid for base measures…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-10-27 Tom Bloom , Norman Levenberg , Franck Wielonsky

Recent studies have provided both empirical and theoretical evidence illustrating that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in various scenarios. Such heavy tails potentially result in iterates with diverging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Hongjian Wang , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli , Murat A. Erdogdu

In this article we review the ideas in Tsai (2018) toward proving the one-point, lower-tail large deviation principle for the Kardar--Parisi--Zhang equation.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Li-Cheng Tsai

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

We study large deviations in the context of stochastic gradient descent for one-hidden-layer neural networks with quadratic loss. We derive a quenched large deviation principle, where we condition on an initial weight measure, and an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Christian Hirsch , Daniel Willhalm

An influential line of recent work has focused on the generalization properties of unregularized gradient-based learning procedures applied to separable linear classification with exponentially-tailed loss functions. The ability of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Matan Schliserman , Tomer Koren

We prove the analogue for continuous space-time of the quenched LDP derived in Birkner, Greven and den Hollander (2010) for discrete space-time. In particular, we consider a random environment given by Brownian increments, cut into pieces…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-10 Matthias Birkner , Frank den Hollander

In this paper, we study the upper tail large deviation for the one-dimensional frog model. In this model, sleeping and active frogs are assigned to vertices on $\mathbb Z$. While sleeping frogs do not move, the active ones move as…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Van Hao Can , Naoki Kubota , Shuta Nakajima

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We consider (annealed) large deviation principles for component empirical measures of several families of marked sparse random graphs, including (i) uniform graphs on $n$ vertices with a fixed degree distribution; (ii) uniform graphs on $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Kavita Ramanan , Sarath Yasodharan

We recover the Donsker-Varadhan large deviations principle (LDP) for the empirical measure of a continuous time Markov chain on a countable (finite or infinite) state space from the joint LDP for the empirical measure and the empirical flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 L. Bertini , A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We provide large deviations estimates for the upper tail of the number of triangles in scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs where the degrees have power law tails with index $-\alpha, \alpha \in (1,2)$. We show that upper tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Clara Stegehuis , Bert Zwart
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