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A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku

As COVID-19 is rapidly spreading across the globe, short-term modeling forecasts provide time-critical information for decisions on containment and mitigation strategies. A main challenge for short-term forecasts is the assessment of key…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Jonas Dehning , Johannes Zierenberg , F. Paul Spitzner , Michael Wibral , Joao Pinheiro Neto , Michael Wilczek , Viola Priesemann

A novel local evolution equation for one-dimensional interfaces is derived in the context of erosion by ion beam sputtering. We present numerical simulations of this equation which show interrupted coarsening in which an ordered cell…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Muñoz-García , Rodolfo Cuerno , Mario Castro

Diffusion is a fundamental physical phenomenon with critical applications in fields such as metallurgy, cell biology, and population dynamics. While standard diffusion is well-understood, anomalous diffusion often requires complex non-local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-16 Gabriel Barreiro , Vladimir Pérez-Veloz

Ecological and evolutionary dynamics have been historically regarded as unfolding at broadly separated timescales. However, these two types of processes are nowadays well documented to much more tightly than traditionally assumed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 José Camacho Mateu , Matteo Sireci , Miguel A. Muñoz

We propose an integral model describing an epidemic of an infectious disease. The model is behavioural in the sense that the constitutive law for the force of infection includes a distributed delay, called "information index", that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Bruno Buonomo , Eleonora Messina , Claudia Panico , Antonia Vecchio

This manuscript presents an innovative statistical model to quantify periodontal disease in the context of complex medical data. A mixed-effects model incorporating skewed random effects and heavy-tailed residuals is introduced, ensuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Qingyang Liu , Debdeep Pati , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay

This paper concerns an age-structured juvenile-adult model with harvesting pulse and moving boundaries in a heterogeneous environment, in which the moving boundaries describe the natural expanding front of species and human periodic pulse…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-08-31 Haiyan Xu , Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu

The paper extends an impulsive control-theoretical framework towards dynamic systems in the space of measures. We consider a transport equation describing the time-evolution of a conservative "mass" (probability measure), which represents…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Nikolay Pogodaev , Maxim Staritsyn

Epidemic models study the spread of an undesired agent through a population, be it infectious diseases through a country, misinformation in online social media, or pests infesting a region. In combating these epidemics, we rely neither on…

We address the problem of diffusion on a comb whose teeth display a varying length. Specifically, the length $\ell$ of each tooth is drawn from a probability distribution displaying the large-$\ell$ behavior $P(\ell) \sim…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-03 S. B. Yuste , E. Abad , A. Baumgaertner

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

This research investigates the coupled dynamics of behavior and infectious disease using a mathematical model. We integrate a two-state q-voter opinion process with SIS-type infection dynamics, where transmission rates are influenced by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-13 Thomas Goetz , Tyll Krueger , Karol Niedzielewski , Jan Schneider , Barbara Pabjan

Human mobility, contact patterns, and their interplay are key aspects of our social behavior that shape the spread of infectious diseases across different regions. In the light of new evidence and data sets about these two elements,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Wesley Cota , David Soriano-Paños , Alex Arenas , Silvio C. Ferreira , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes

We propose a nonlocal epidemic model whose spatial domain evolves over time and is represented by $[0,h(t)]$ with $h(t)$ standing for the spreading front of epidemic. It is assumed that the agents can cross the fixed boundary $x=0$, but…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Xueping Li , Lei Li

It is generally believed that, when a linguistic item acquires a new meaning, its overall frequency of use in the language rises with time with an S-shaped growth curve. Yet, this claim has only been supported by a limited number of case…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-04 Quentin Feltgen , Benjamin Fagard , Jean-Pierre Nadal

Turbulent reacting flows confined to ducts are plagued by thermoacoustic instability, a state in which a positive feedback between flow, flame and acoustic perturbations leads to the emergence of catastrophically high-amplitude oscillatory…

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

The idea that there are any large-scale trends in the evolution of biological organisms is highly controversial. It is commonly believed, for example, that there is a large-scale trend in evolution towards increasing complexity, but…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Peter D. Turney

This paper investigates the long-time dynamics of a nonlocal epidemic model with free boundaries, where a pathogen with density $u(t,x)$ and the infected humans with density $v(t,x)$ evolve according to a reaction-diffusion system with…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Yao Chen , Yihong Du , Wan-Tong Li , Rong Wang