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Empirical evidence suggests that heavy-tailed degree distributions occurring in many real networks are well-approximated by power laws with exponents $\eta$ that may take values either less than and greater than two. Models based on various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Adam Foster , Emile Mathieu , Yee Whye Teh

We compute the analytic expression of the probability distributions F{FTSE100,+} and F{FTSE100,-} of the normalized positive and negative FTSE100 (UK) index daily returns r(t). Furthermore, we define the alpha re-scaled FTSE100 daily index…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-13 Rui Gonçalves , Helena Ferreira , Alberto Pinto

We introduce the forcing property of descending distributivity. A forcing $\mathbb{P}$ is $\kappa$-descending distributive if for all decreasing sequences $(D_\alpha)_{\alpha<\kappa}$ of open dense sets, $\bigcap_\alpha D_\alpha$ is open…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Calliope Ryan-Smith

The analysis of logarithmic return distributions defined over large time scales is crucial for understanding the long-term dynamics of asset price movements. For large time scales of the order of two trading years, the anticipated Gaussian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

We study the distributions of event-time returns and clock-time returns at different microscopic timescales using ultra-high-frequency data extracted from the limit-order books of 23 stocks traded in the Chinese stock market in 2003. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei Chen , Wei-Xing Zhou

Zipf's power-law distribution is a generic empirical statistical regularity found in many complex systems. However, rather than universality with a single power-law exponent (equal to 1 for Zipf's law), there are many reported deviations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-18 Ryohei Hisano , Didier Sornette , Takayuki Mizuno

We study the distribution of partial sums of Rademacher random multiplicative functions $(f(n))_n$ evaluated at polynomial arguments. We show that for a polynomial $P\in \mathbb Z[x]$ that is a product of at least two distinct linear…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Jake Chinis , Besfort Shala

Recently, Verma et al. (2025) introduced a novel generalized class of Kavya-Manoharan distributions, which have demonstrated significant utility in reliability analysis and the modeling of lifetime data. This paper proposes an extension of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Lazhar Benkhelifa

This paper presents a quantitative analysis of the relationship between the stock market returns and corresponding trading volumes using high- frequency data from the Polish stock market. First, for stocks that were traded for suffciently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-06 Rafal Rak , Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka

The generalized entropic measure, which is optimized by a given arbitrary distribution under the constraints on normalization of the distribution and the finite ordinary expectation value of a physical random quantity, is considered and its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Sumiyoshi Abe , G. Kaniadakis , A. M. Scarfone

In this paper, the local asymptotic estimation for the supremum of a random walk and its applications are presented. The summands of the random walk have common long-tailed and generalized strong subexponential distribution. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Yuebao Wang , Hui Xu , Dongya Cheng , Changjun Yu

Over the last few decades power law distributions have been suggested as forming generative mechanisms in a variety of disparate fields, such as, astrophysics, criminology and database curation. However, fitting these heavy tailed…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-26 Colin S. Gillespie

We study a simple model of dynamic networks, characterized by a set preferred degree, $\kappa$. Each node with degree $k$ attempts to maintain its $\kappa$ and will add (cut) a link with probability $w(k;\kappa)$ ($1-w(k;\kappa)$). As a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-29 Wenjia Liu , Shivakumar Jolad , Beate Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

Superstatistics describes statistical systems that behave like superpositions of different inverse temperatures $\beta$, so that the probability distribution is $p(\epsilon_i) \propto \int_{0}^{\infty} f(\beta) e^{-\beta \epsilon_i}d\beta$,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-10-03 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner , Murray Gell-Mann

We introduce regenerative tree growth processes as consistent families of random trees with n labelled leaves, n>=1, with a regenerative property at branch points. This framework includes growth processes for exchangeably labelled Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-30 Jim Pitman , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

To account quantitatively for many reported ``natural'' fat tail distributions in Nature and Economy, we propose the stretched exponential family as a complement to the often used power law distributions. It has many advantages, among which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Laherrère , D. Sornette

We consider the random reversible Markov kernel K obtained by assigning i.i.d. nonnegative weights to the edges of the complete graph over n vertices and normalizing by the corresponding row sum. The weights are assumed to be in the domain…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafaï

We consider a simple model of firm/city/etc. growth based on a multi-item criterion: whenever entity B fares better that entity A on a subset of $M$ items out of $K$, the agent originally in A moves to B. We solve the model analytically in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-11 José Moran , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The different between the inverse power function and the negative exponential function is significant. The former suggests a complex distribution, while the latter indicates a simple distribution. However, the association of the power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-19 Yanguang Chen

We compare the probability distribution of returns for the three major stock-market indexes (Nasdaq, S&P500, and Dow-Jones) with an analytical formula recently derived by Dragulescu and Yakovenko for the Heston model with stochastic…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko