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We consider shot-noise processes with an impulse response written in terms of the logarithm of the ratio between current and event time (instead of the usual absolute time difference). We study its finite-time properties as well as its weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Enrico Scalas

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

This article investigates parameter estimation of affine term structure models by means of the generalized method of moments. Exact moments of the affine latent process as well as of the yields are obtained by using results derived for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-10 Jaroslava Hlouskova , Leopold Sögner

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a centered self-similar Gaussian process with stationary increments, which depends on a parameter $H \in (0, 1)$ called the Hurst index. The use of time-changed processes in modeling often requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Jebessa B. Mijena

In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Héctor Araya , Natalia Bahamonde , Tania Roa , Soledad Torres

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

The $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (FBM for short) $B_t=((B_t^{(1)},...,B_t^{(d)}),t\in\mathbb{R})$ with Hurst exponent $\alpha$, $\alpha\in(0,1)$, is a $d$-dimensional centered, self-similar Gaussian process with covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-23 Jérémie Unterberger

We construct fractional Brownian motion (fBm), sub-fractional Brownian motion (sub-fBm), negative sub-fractional Brownian motion (nsfBm) and the odd part of fBm in the sense of Dzhaparidze and van Zanten (2004) by means of limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Tomasz Bojdecki , Anna Talarczyk

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

This paper introduces the Generalized Fractional Compound Poisson Process (GFCPP), which claims to be a unified fractional version of the compound Poisson process (CPP) that encompasses existing variations as special cases. We derive its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

We introduce and study a fractional version of the Skellam process of order $k$ by time-changing it with an independent inverse stable subordinator. We call it the fractional Skellam process of order $k$ (FSPoK). An integral representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

This paper reviews and extends some recent results on the multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) and its increment process. A characterization of the mfBm through its covariance function is obtained. Similarly, the correlation and…

The growth of a population is often modeled as branching process where each individual at the end of its life is replaced by a certain number of offspring. An example of these branching models is the Bellman-Harris process, where the…

Complex phase factors are viewed not only as redundancies of the quantum formalism but instead as remnants of unitary transformations under which the probabilistic properties of observables are invariant. It is postulated that a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-05-20 Fritiof Wallentin

In this paper, we introduce a space fractional negative binomial (SFNB) process by subordinating the space fractional Poisson process to a gamma subordinator. Its one-dimensional distributions are derived in terms of generalized Wright…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-05 L. Beghin , P. Vellaisamy

The purpose of this work is to describe a unified, and indeed simple, mechanism for non-parametric Bayesian analysis, construction and generative sampling of a large class of latent feature models which one can describe as generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Lancelot F. James

For a model nonlinear dynamical system, we show how one may obtain its bifurcation behavior by introducing noise into the dynamics and then studying the resulting Langevin dynamics in the weak-noise limit. A suitable quantity to capture the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-02-06 Debraj Das , Sayan Roy , Shamik Gupta

This contribution deals with identification of fractional-order dynamical systems. System identification, which refers to estimation of process parameters, is a necessity in control theory. Real processes are usually of fractional order as…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Deepyaman Maiti , Mithun Chakraborty , Amit Konar

Our interest is whether two binomial parameters differ, which parameter is larger, and by how much. This apparently simple problem was addressed by Fisher in the 1930's, and has been the subject of many review papers since then. Yet there…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Michael P. Fay , Sally A. Hunsberger

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade
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