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We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We investigate the effect of noise on Random Boolean Networks. Noise is implemented as a probability $p$ that a node does not obey its deterministic update rule. We define two order parameters, the long-time average of the Hamming distance…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Tiago P. Peixoto , Barbara Drossel

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-15 Mingyuan Zhou , Lawrence Carin

The generalized negative binomial distribution (GNB) is a new flexible family of discrete distributions that are mixed Poisson laws with the mixing generalized gamma (GG) distributions. This family of discrete distributions is very wide and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Andrey K. Gorshenin , Victor Yu. Korolev

The $k$'th frequency moment of a sequence of integers is defined as $F_k = \sum_j n_j^k$, where $n_j$ is the number of times that $j$ occurs in the sequence. Here we study the quantum complexity of approximately computing the frequency…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-08-05 Ashley Montanaro

We investigate a system of Brownian particles weakly bound by attractive parity-symmetric potentials that grow at large distances as $V(x) \sim |x|^\alpha$, with $0 < \alpha < 1$. The probability density function $P(x,t)$ at long times…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-24 Lucianno Defaveri , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We introduce a new class of forward performance processes that are endogenous and predictable with regards to an underlying market information set and, furthermore, are updated at discrete times. We analyze in detail a binomial model whose…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-20 Bahman Angoshtari , Thaleia Zariphopoulou , Xun Yu Zhou

We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

The paper gives a new representation for the fractional Brownian motion that can be applied to simulate this self-similar random process in continuous time. Such a representation is based on the spectral form of mathematical description and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Konstantin A. Rybakov

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Our purpose is to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest for controlled branching processes (CBPs) without prior knowledge of the maximum number of offspring that an individual can give birth to and without…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto

In this paper, we use a biorthogonal approach (Appell system) to construct and characterize the spaces of test and generalized functions associated to the fractional Poisson measure $\pi_{\lambda,\beta}$, that is, a probability measure in…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Jerome B. Bendong , Sheila M. Menchavez , José Luís da Silva

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

We present some correlated fractional counting processes on a finite time interval. This will be done by considering a slight generalization of the processes in Borges et al. (2012). The main case concerns a class of space-time fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Luisa Beghin , Roberto Garra , Claudio Macci

We address the now classical problem of a diffusion process that crosses over from a ballistic behavior at short times to a fractional diffusion (sub- or super-diffusion) at longer times. Using the standard non-Markovian diffusion equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Valery Ilyin , Itamar Procaccia , Anatoly Zagorodny

A Feller's Brownian motion is a diffusion process on the half-line with general boundary behavior at the origin, described by four parameters. A birth-death process, on the other hand, is a continuous-time Markov chain on the nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Liping Li
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