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The prediction of stochastic dynamical systems and the capture of dynamical behaviors are profound problems. In this article, we propose a data-driven framework combining Reservoir Computing and Normalizing Flow to study this issue, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

A simple procedure to approximate the noncommutation terms that arise whenever it is necessary to use a variable scale filtering of the motion equations and to compensate directly the flow solutions from the commutation error is here…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2012-11-29 Michele Iovieno , Daniela Tordella

This paper is concerned with particle filtering for $\alpha$-stable stochastic volatility models. The $\alpha$-stable distribution provides a flexible framework for modeling asymmetry and heavy tails, which is useful when modeling financial…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-20 Emilian Vankov , Katherine B. Ensor

Bayesian filtering is a key tool in many problems that involve the online processing of data, including data assimilation, optimal control, nonlinear tracking and others. Unfortunately, the implementation of filters for nonlinear, possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Utku Erdogan , Gabriel J. Lord , Joaquin Miguez

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

We analyze the fluctuation-driven escape of particles from a metastable state under the influence of a weak periodic force. We develop an asymptotic method to solve the appropriate Fokker-Planck equation with mixed natural and absorbing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-14 W. Moon , N. J. Balmforth , J. S. Wettlaufer

The method of choice for integrating the time-dependent Fokker-Planck equation in high-dimension is to generate samples from the solution via integration of the associated stochastic differential equation. Here, we study an alternative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

The Fokker-Planck equations for stochastic dynamical systems, with non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable symmetric L\'evy motions, have a nonlocal or fractional Laplacian term. This nonlocality is the manifestation of the effect of non-Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li

The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations provide a computationally efficient method for solving fluid flow problems in engineering applications. However, the use of closure models to represent turbulence effects can reduce their…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-02 Oliver Brenner , Justin Plogmann , Pasha Piroozmand , Patrick Jenny

Data Assimilation (DA) plays a critical role in atmospheric science by reconstructing spatially continous estimates of the system state, which serves as initial conditions for scientific analysis. While recent advances in diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Hao Wang , Jindong Han , Wei Fan , Weijia Zhang , Hao Liu

For quantum computers to become useful tools to physicists, engineers and computational scientists, quantum algorithms for solving nonlinear differential equations need to be developed. Despite recent advances, the quest for a solver that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-25 Felix Tennie , Luca Magri

Solving the Fokker-Planck equation for high-dimensional complex turbulent dynamical systems is an important and practical issue. However, most traditional methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality and have difficulties in capturing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-06 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda

We derive novel algorithms for optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations describing multiscale particle dynamics, including non-local integral terms representing interactions between particles. In particular, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-09 Mildred Aduamoah , Benjamin D. Goddard , John W. Pearson , Jonna C. Roden

Wall-bounded turbulent flows are chaotic and multiscale, rendering real-time prediction at high Reynolds numbers computationally prohibitive in applications such as wind farms. Classical data assimilation methods are based on repeated…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-25 Fabian Steinbrenner , Baris Turan , Hao Teng , Heng Xiao

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh

We propose closed-form conditional diffusion models for data assimilation. Diffusion models use data to learn the score function (defined as the gradient of the log-probability density of a data distribution), allowing them to generate new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Brianna Binder , Agnimitra Dasgupta , Assad Oberai

The dynamics of a one-dimensional stochastic model is studied in presence of an absorbing boundary. The distribution of fluctuations is analytically characterized within the generalized van Kampen expansion, accounting for higher order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Claudia Cianci , Francesca Di Patti , Duccio Fanelli