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Data assimilation algorithms combine information from observations and prior model information to obtain the most likely state of a dynamical system. The linearised weak-constraint four-dimensional variational assimilation problem can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-04 Jemima M. Tabeart , John W. Pearson

Data assimilation is the task of combining mathematical models with observational data. From a mathematical perspective data assimilation leads to Bayesian inference problems which can be formulated in terms of Feynman-Kac formulae. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Yuan Cheng , Sebastian Reich

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

In this paper we combine the non-linear filtering capabilities of particle filters with the transdimensional inference of the reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method for a data assimilation methodology over dynamic problems with…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-27 Márk Somogyvári , Sebastian Reich

We formulate two estimation problems for pipeline systems in which measurements of compressible gas flow through a network of pipes is affected by time-varying injections, withdrawals, and compression. We consider a state estimation problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-30 Kaarthik Sundar , Anatoly Zlotnik

Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

Bayesian state estimation of a dynamical system utilising a stream of noisy measurements is important in many geophysical and engineering applications. We establish rigorous results on (time-asymptotic) accuracy and stability of these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Animikh Biswas , Michal Branicki

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-10 Ronan Fablet , Bertrand Chapron , Lucas. Drumetz , Etienne Memin , Olivier Pannekoucke , Francois Rousseau

Flow maps enable high-quality image generation in a single forward pass. However, unlike iterative diffusion models, their lack of an explicit sampling trajectory impedes incorporating external constraints for conditional generation and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Abbas Mammadov , So Takao , Bohan Chen , Ricardo Baptista , Morteza Mardani , Yee Whye Teh , Julius Berner

Flow-matching-based policies have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning-based robot manipulation, offering significant acceleration in action sampling compared to diffusion-based policies. However, conventional flow-matching…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Xuanran Zhai , Qianyou Zhao , Qiaojun Yu , Ce Hao

This study presents a novel approach to applying data assimilation techniques for particle-based simulations using the Ensemble Kalman Filter. While data assimilation methods have been effectively applied to Eulerian simulations, their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Marius Duvillard , Loïc Giraldi , Olivier Le Maître

This paper considers the ill-posed data assimilation problem associated with hyperbolic/parabolic systems describing 2D coupled sound and heat flow. Given hypothetical data at time T > 0, that may not correspond to an actual solution of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Alfred S. Carasso

State estimation for nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging task. Existing assimilation methodologies predominantly assume Gaussian posteriors on physical space, where true posteriors become inevitably non-Gaussian. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Yuta Tarumi , Keisuke Fukuda , Shin-ichi Maeda

A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-03-25 Sagy Ephrati

The normalization constraint on probability density poses a significant challenge for solving the Fokker-Planck equation. Normalizing Flow, an invertible generative model leverages the change of variables formula to ensure probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Feng Liu , Faguo Wu , Xiao Zhang

The most frequently used in physical application diffusive (based on the Fokker-Planck equation) model leans upon the assumption of small jumps of a macroscopic variable for each given realization of the stochastic process. This imposes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Serge Shpyrko , V. V. Ryazanov

Particle filters for data assimilation in nonlinear problems use "particles" (replicas of the underlying system) to generate a sequence of probability density functions (pdfs) through a Bayesian process. This can be expensive because a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-05-15 Alexandre J. Chorin , Xuemin Tu

This paper is concerned with a fluid-particle system given by the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations coupled with the Vlasov(-Fokker-Planck) equation through a drag force. Such a model arises naturally in the study of aerosols, sprays,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Ludovic Goudenège , Christian Olivera , Gabriela Planas , Alexandre Richard

A thermal convection loop is a circular chamber filled with water, heated on the bottom half and cooled on the top half. With sufficiently large forcing of heat, the direction of fluid flow in the loop oscillates chaotically, forming an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Andrew J. Reagan
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