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We apply a continuous data assimilation method to the Navier-Stokes-Fourier system governing the evolution of a compressible, rotating and thermally driven fluid. A rigorous proof of the tracking property is given in the asymptotic regime…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Eduard Feireisl , Wladimir Neves

Conventional recursive filtering approaches, designed for quantifying the state of an evolving uncertain dynamical system with intermittent observations, use a sequence of (i) an uncertainty propagation step followed by (ii) a step where…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Wonjung Lee , Chris Farmer

The Fokker-Planck equations (FPEs) for stochastic systems driven by additive symmetric $\alpha$-stable noises may not adequately describe the time evolution for the probability densities of solution paths in some practical applications,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Qiao Huang , Jinqiao Duan , Tingting Li

A series of novel filters for probabilistic inference that propose an alternative way of performing Bayesian updates, called particle flow filters, have been attracting recent interest. These filters provide approximate solutions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Flávio Eler De Melo , Simon Maskell , Matteo Fasiolo , Fred Daum

Accurate estimation of error covariances (both background and observation) is crucial for efficient observation compression approaches in data assimilation of large-scale dynamical problems. We propose a new combination of a covariance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Sibo Cheng , Didier Lucor , Jean-Philippe Argaud

We characterize a stochastic dynamical system with tempered stable noise, by examining its probability density evolution. This probability density function satisfies a nonlocal Fokker-Planck equation. First, we prove a superposition…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Li Lin , Jinqiao Duan , Xiao Wang , Yanjie Zhang

Forecasting conditional stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental challenge repeatedly encountered across the biological and physical sciences. While flow-based models can impressively predict the temporal evolution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Adam P. Generale , Andreas E. Robertson , Surya R. Kalidindi

Incorporating unstructured data into physical models is a challenging problem that is emerging in data assimilation. Traditional approaches focus on well-defined observation operators whose functional forms are typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-25 Alex Glyn-Davies , Connor Duffin , Ö. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami

We study Bayesian data assimilation (filtering) for time-evolution PDEs, for which the underlying forward problem may be very unstable or ill-posed. Such PDEs, which include the Navier-Stokes equations of fluid dynamics, are characterized…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Samuel Lanthaler , Siddhartha Mishra , Franziska Weber

Data assimilation plays a crucial role in modern weather prediction, providing a systematic way to incorporate observational data into complex dynamical models. The paper addresses continuous data assimilation for a model arising as a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Eduard Feireisl , Piotr Gwiazda , Agnieszka Świerczewska-Gwiazda

Learning nonlinear dynamics from aggregate data is a challenging problem because the full trajectory of each individual is not available, namely, the individual observed at one time may not be observed at the next time point, or the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Shaojun Ma , Shu Liu , Hongyuan Zha , Haomin Zhou

Data assimilation (DA) combines partial observations with dynamical models to improve state estimation. Filter-based DA uses only past and present data and is the prerequisite for real-time forecasts. Smoother-based DA exploits both past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Yingda Li

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

Understanding and predicting people flow in urban areas is useful for decision-making in urban planning and marketing strategies. Traditional methods for understanding people flow can be divided into measurement-based approaches and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Ryo Murata , Kenji Tanaka

We investigate coupled stochastic differential equations governing N non-negative continuous random variables that satisfy a conservation principle. In various fields a conservation law requires that a set of fluctuating variables be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Ensemble transform Kalman filtering (ETKF) data assimilation is often used to combine available observations with numerical simulations to obtain statistically accurate and reliable state representations in dynamical systems. However, it is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) nudges observational data into governing equations to recover the underlying flow and improve predictions. Existing rigorous CDA analyses focus primarily on incompressible flows, yet no physical flow is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang

We consider coupled models for particulate flows, where the disperse phase is made of particles with distinct sizes. We are thus led to a system coupling the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations to the multi-component Vlasov-Fokker-Planck…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Shi Jin , Yiwen Lin