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Related papers: Uncertainty of Supply Chains: Risk and Ambiguity

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Since several years, the fragility of global supply chains (GSCs) is at historically high levels. In the same time, the landscape of hybrid threats is expanding; new forms of hybrid threats create different types of uncertainties. This…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-22 d'Artis Kancs

In today's global economy, supply chain (SC) entities have become increasingly interconnected with demand and supply relationships due to the need for strategic outsourcing. Such interdependence among firms not only increases efficiency but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-16 Qihui Yang , Caterina Scoglio , Don Gruenbacher

Supply chain resilience analysis aims to identify the critical elements in the supply chain, measure its reliability, and analyze solutions for improving vulnerabilities. While extensive methods like stochastic approaches have been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-22 Yaxin Pang , Shenle Pan , Eric Ballot

Supply chain disruptions cause shortages of raw material and products. To increase resilience, i.e., the ability to cope with shocks, substituting goods in established supply chains can become an effective alternative to creating new…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-25 Ambra Amico , Luca Verginer , Giona Casiraghi , Giacomo Vaccario , Frank Schweitzer

Risk assessment is a major challenge for supply chain managers, as it potentially affects business factors such as service costs, supplier competition and customer expectations. The increasing interconnectivity between organisations has put…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-27 Alberto Redondo , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos Insua , Jordi Domingo

Supply chains are the backbone of the global economy. Disruptions to them can be costly. Centrally managed supply chains invest in ensuring their resilience. Decentralized supply chains, however, must rely upon the self-interest of their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Victor Amelkin , Rakesh Vohra

This paper investigates the endogenous formation of supply chains and its consequences for disruption propagation. In production networks where upstream risk is highly correlated and supplier relationships are not observable, the marginal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-24 Andrea Titton

We model the production of complex goods in a large supply network. Each firm sources several essential inputs through relationships with other firms. Individual supply relationships are at risk of idiosyncratic failure, which threatens to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-28 Matthew Elliott , Benjamin Golub , Matthew V. Leduc

Supply chains need to balance competing objectives; in addition to efficiency they need to be resilient to adversarial and environmental interference, and robust to uncertainties in long term demand. Significant research has been conducted…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-05 Bruce A. Cox , Christopher M. Smith , Timothy W. Breitbach , Jade F. Baker , Paul P. Rebeiz

How does supply uncertainty affect the structure of supply chain networks? To answer this question we consider a setting where retailers and suppliers must establish a costly relationship with each other prior to engaging in trade.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Victor Amelkin , Rakesh Vohra

Modelling how shocks propagate in supply chains is an increasingly important challenge in economics. Its relevance has been highlighted in recent years by events such as Covid-19 and the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Agent-based models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-10 Saad Hamid , José Moran , Luca Mungo , Arnau Quera-Bofarull , Sebastian Towers

We study the disequilibrium dynamics of a stylised model of production networks in which firms use perishable and non-substitutable intermediate inputs, so that adverse idiosyncratic productivity shocks can trigger downstream shortages and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-02 David Martin , José Moran , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Risk and uncertainty in each stage of CLSC have greatly increased the complexity and reduced process efficiency of the closed-loop networks, impeding the sustainable and resilient development of industries and the circular economy.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-09 Yang Hu

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis the role of strongly interconnected markets in fostering systemic instability has been increasingly acknowledged. Trade networks of commodities are susceptible to deleterious cascades of supply…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-15 Peter Klimek , Michael Obersteiner , Stefan Thurner

We study how product specialization choices affect supply chain resilience. We propose a theory of supply chain formation in which only compatible inputs can be used in final production. Intermediate producers choose how much to specialize…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-28 Alessandro Ferrari , Lorenzo Pesaresi

This paper proposes a mathematical model for the design of a two-echelon supply chain where a set of suppliers serve a set of terminal facilities that receive uncertain customer demands. This model integrates a number of system decisions in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-26 Jianxun Cui , Meng Zhao , Xiaopeng Li , Mohsen Parsafard , Shi An

Modern production systems are increasingly defined by dense networks of multi-tier sourcing dependencies, where localized upstream disruptions can cascade into system-wide collapses. While supply chain resilience has garnered significant…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Marios Papachristou , M. Amin Rahimian , Arash Azadegan

Recent pandemics have highlighted vulnerabilities in our global economic systems, especially supply chains. Possible future pandemic raises a dilemma for businesses owners between short-term profitability and long-term supply chain…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Teddy Lazebnik

Recent events such as the Heparin tragedy, in which patients lost their lives due to tainted pharmaceuticals, highlight the necessity for supply chain designers and planners to consider the risk of even low probability disruptions in supply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-04 AliReza Madadi , Mary E. Kurz , Scott J. Mason , Kevin M. Taaffe

In the highly complex and stochastic global, supply chain environments, local enterprise agents seek distributed and dynamic strategies for agile responses to disruptions. Existing literature explores both centralized and distributed…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Mingjie Bi , Juan-Alberto Estrada-Garcia , Dawn M. Tilbury , Siqian Shen , Kira Barton
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