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Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

Combining efficient and safe control for safety-critical systems is challenging. Robust methods may be overly conservative, whereas probabilistic controllers require a trade-off between efficiency and safety. In this work, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Tim Brüdigam , Robert Jacumet , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this paper, it is shown that a simple formulation of Economic Model Predictive Control can be used which possesses two features that are generally viewed as mutually exclusive, namely, a rather short prediction horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-23 Mazen Alamir , Gabriele Pannochia

This paper contrasts recursive state space models and direct multi-step predictors for linear predictive control. We provide a tutorial exposition for both model structures to solve the following problems: 1. stochastic optimal control; 2.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Johannes Köhler , Kim P. Wabersich , Julian Berberich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Often the goal of model selection is to choose a model for future prediction, and it is natural to measure the accuracy of a future prediction by squared error loss. Under the Bayesian approach, it is commonly perceived that the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Maria Maddalena Barbieri , James O. Berger

Selective rationalization has become a common mechanism to ensure that predictive models reveal how they use any available features. The selection may be soft or hard, and identifies a subset of input features relevant for prediction. The…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Mo Yu , Shiyu Chang , Yang Zhang , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Multi-Objective Learning Model Predictive Control is a novel data-driven control scheme which improves a linear system's closed-loop performance with respect to several convex control objectives over iterations of a repeated task. At each…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-21 Siddharth H. Nair , Charlott Vallon , Francesco Borrelli

Networked Predictive Control is widely used to mitigate the effect of delays and dropouts in Networked Control Systems, particularly when these exceed the sampling time. A key design choice of these methods is the delay bound, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Severin Beger , Yihui Lin , Katarina Stanojevic , Sandra Hirche

In this paper, we present the combined learning-and-control (CLC) approach, which is a new way to solve optimal control problems with unknown dynamics by unifying model-based control and data-driven learning. The key idea is simple: we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Panagiotis Kounatidis , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Optimization is offered as an objective approach to resolving complex, real-world decisions involving uncertainty and conflicting interests. It drives business strategies as well as public policies and, increasingly, lies at the heart of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Benjamin Laufer , Thomas Krendl Gilbert , Helen Nissenbaum

Perception and prediction modules are critical components of autonomous driving systems, enabling vehicles to navigate safely through complex environments. The perception module is responsible for perceiving the environment, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Lucas Dal'Col , Miguel Oliveira , Vítor Santos

A pivotal task in quantum metrology, and quantum parameter estimation in general, is to de- sign schemes that achieve the highest precision with given resources. Standard models of quantum metrology usually assume the dynamics is fixed, the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-18 Jing Liu , Haidong Yuan

For certain industrial control applications an explicit function capturing the nontrivial trade-off between competing objectives in closed loop performance is not available. In such scenarios it is common practice to use the human innate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-11 Alex. S. Ira , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Robert Chin , Dragan Nesic , Hayato Nakada , Takeshi Sano

Motion prediction is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving. However, the inexplicability and uncertainty of complex artificial intelligence models may lead to unpredictable failures of the motion prediction module, which may…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Liang Peng , Jun Li , Hong Wang

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

AI models that predict the future behavior of a system (a.k.a. predictive AI models) are central to intelligent decision-making. However, decision-making using predictive AI models often results in suboptimal performance. This is primarily…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Akhil S Anand , Shambhuraj Sawant , Dirk Reinhardt , Sebastien Gros

Non-convex optimal control problems occurring in, e.g., water or power systems, typically involve a large number of variables related through nonlinear equality constraints. The ideal goal is to find a globally optimal solution, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Jorn H. Baayen , Krzysztof Postek

This article presents a dynamic regret analysis for stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) in linear systems with quadratic performance index and additive and multiplicative uncertainties. Under a finite support assumption, the problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Sungho Shin , Sen Na , Mihai Anitescu

Handling uncertainty in model predictive control comes with various challenges, especially when considering state constraints under uncertainty. Most methods focus on either the conservative approach of robustly accounting for uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-03 Michael Fink , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold
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