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Predictive control is frequently used for control problems involving constraints. Being an optimization based technique utilizing a user specified so-called stage cost, performance properties, i.e., bounds on the infinite horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-09 Lukas Beckenbach , Stefan Streif

We prove a general existence result in stochastic optimal control in discrete time where controls take values in conditional metric spaces, and depend on the current state and the information of past decisions through the evolution of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Asgar Jamneshan , Michael Kupper , José Miguel Zapata

The stability analysis of model predictive control schemes without terminal constraints and/or costs has attracted considerable attention during the last years. We pursue a recently proposed approach which can be used to determine a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Philipp Braun , Jürgen Pannek , Karl Worthmann

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

We study an optimal control problem in which both the objective function and the dynamic constraint contain an uncertain parameter. Since the distribution of this uncertain parameter is not exactly known, the objective function is taken as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Jianxiong Ye , Lei Wang , Changzhi Wu , Jie Sun , Kok Lay Teo , Xiangyu Wang

The growing uncertainty from renewable power and electricity demand brings significant challenges to unit commitment (UC). While various advanced forecasting and optimization methods have been developed to predict better and address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Rui Xie , Yue Chen , Pierre Pinson

Decision-makers often act in response to data-driven predictions, with the goal of achieving favorable outcomes. In such settings, predictions don't passively forecast the future; instead, predictions actively shape the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Michael P. Kim , Juan C. Perdomo

Parameter control aims at realizing performance gains through a dynamic choice of the parameters which determine the behavior of the underlying optimization algorithm. In the context of evolutionary algorithms this research line has for a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Benjamin Doerr , Carola Doerr

Time distributed optimization is an implementation strategy that can significantly reduce the computational burden of model predictive control by exploiting its robustness to incomplete optimization. When using this strategy, optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Dominic Liao-McPherson , Marco Nicotra , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Inexact methods for model predictive control (MPC), such as real-time iterative schemes or time-distributed optimization, alleviate the computational burden of exact MPC by providing suboptimal solutions. While the asymptotic stability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

In many human-in-the-loop robotic applications such as robot-assisted surgery and remote teleoperation, predicting the intended motion of the human operator may be useful for successful implementation of shared control, guidance virtual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Arun Kumar Singh , Sigal Berman , Ilana Nisky

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

For future extremely large telescopes, error in extreme adaptive optics systems at small angular separations will be highly impacted by the lag time of the correction, which is typically on millisecond timescales; one solution is to apply a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 J. Fowler , M. A. M. van Kooten , R. Jensen-Clem

We demonstrate that the forecasting combination puzzle is a consequence of the methodology commonly used to produce forecast combinations. By the combination puzzle, we refer to the empirical finding that predictions formed by combining…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-11 David T. Frazier , Ryan Covey , Gael M. Martin , Donald Poskitt

This paper studies online solutions for regret-optimal control in partially observable systems over an infinite-horizon. Regret-optimal control aims to minimize the difference in LQR cost between causal and non-causal controllers while…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-15 Joudi Hajar , Oron Sabag , Babak Hassibi

Recent papers have introduced a novel approach to explain why a Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) model for outcome-oriented predictions provides wrong predictions. Moreover, they have shown how to exploit the explanations, obtained using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

We consider the problem of evaluating forecasts of binary events whose predictions are consumed by rational agents who take an action in response to a prediction, but whose utility is unknown to the forecaster. We show that optimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Robert Kleinberg , Renato Paes Leme , Jon Schneider , Yifeng Teng

Methods to quantify uncertainty in predictions from arbitrary models are in demand in high-stakes domains like medicine and finance. Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular method for producing a set of predictions with specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jessica Hullman , Yifan Wu , Dawei Xie , Ziyang Guo , Andrew Gelman

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

The performance, reliability, cost, size and energy usage of computing systems can be improved by one or more orders of magnitude by the systematic use of modern control and optimization methods. Computing systems rely on the use of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Eric C. Kerrigan