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We introduce a computational framework to statistically infer thermophysical properties of any given wall from in-situ measurements of air temperature and surface heat fluxes. The proposed framework uses these measurements, within a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-16 Lia De Simon , Marco Iglesias , Benjamin Jones , Christopher Wood

A stochastic inverse heat transfer problem is formulated to infer the transient heat flux, treated as an unknown Neumann boundary condition. Therefore, an Ensemble-based Simultaneous Input and State Filtering as a Data Assimilation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Kabir Bakhshaei , Umberto Emil Morelli , Giovanni Stabile , Gianluigi Rozza

This work deals with an inverse two-dimensional nonlinear heat conduction problem to determine the top and lateral surface transfer coefficients. For this, the \textsc{B}ayesian framework with the \textsc{M}arkov Chain \textsc{M}onte…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Julien Berger , Clemence Legros

A fast inverse heat conduction model (IHCM) is developed for estimating unknown properties of multi-layer composites considering internal heat generation. This work builds on the validated analytical forward models presented in Part I.…

Applied Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Gan Fu , Mitrofan Curti , Calina Ciuhu , Elena A. Lomonova

Urbanization is the key contributor for climate change. Increasing urbanization rate causes an urban heat island (UHI) effect, which strongly depends on the short- and long-wave radiation balance heat flux between the surfaces. In order to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Zhanat Karashbayeva , Julien Berger , Helcio R. B. Orlande , Marie-Hélène Azam

We consider the problem of estimating a temperature-dependent thermal conductivity model (curve) from temperature measurements. We apply a Bayesian estimation approach that takes into account measurement errors and limited prior information…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quaeghebeur

The assessment of the thermal properties of walls is essential for accurate building energy simulations that are needed to make effective energy-saving policies. These properties are usually investigated through in-situ measurements of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-21 Marco Iglesias , Zaid Sawlan , Marco Scavino , Raul Tempone , Christopher Wood

To assess the durability of structures, heat and moisture transport need to be analyzed. To provide a reliable estimation of heat and moisture distribution in a certain structure, one needs to include all available information about the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Anna Kucerova , Jan Sykora

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is widely used for sampling from high dimensional target distributions with densities known up to proportionality. While HMC exhibits favorable scaling properties in high dimensions, it struggles with strongly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-30 Joonha Park

We present a parameter estimation procedure based on a Bayesian framework by applying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to the calibration of the dynamical parameters of a space based gravitational wave detector. The method is based on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2012-12-03 Luigi Ferraioli , Edward K. Porter , Eric Plagnol

Reliable models of the thermodynamic properties of materials are critical for industrially relevant applications that require a good understanding of equilibrium phase diagrams, thermal and chemical transport, and microstructure evolution.…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-09-21 Noah H. Paulson , Elise Jennings , Marius Stan

We consider a stochastic process of heat conduction where energy is redistributed along a chain between nearest neighbor sites via an improper beta distribution. Similar to the well-known Kipnis-Marchioro-Presutti (KMP) model, the finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-03 Chiara Franceschini , Rouven Frassek , Cristian Giardinà

We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the parameters of mathematical models of cardiac electrophysiology with quantified uncertainty. Such models capture the dynamics of the electrical signal that coordinates the muscle cell…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Maarten Volkaerts , Marie Cloet , Hans Dierckx , Piet Claus , Giovanni Samaey

Bayesian neural learning feature a rigorous approach to estimation and uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution of weights that represent knowledge of the neural network. This not only provides point estimates of optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Rohitash Chandra , Konark Jain , Ratneel V. Deo , Sally Cripps

We propose a new sampling method, the thermostat-assisted continuously-tempered Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, for Bayesian learning on large datasets and multimodal distributions. It simulates the Nos\'e-Hoover dynamics of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Rui Luo , Jianhong Wang , Yaodong Yang , Zhanxing Zhu , Jun Wang

This paper considers Bayesian parameter estimation of dynamic systems using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The Metroplis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is employed, and the main contribution of the paper is to examine and illustrate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-18 Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness , Johan Dahlin

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Exact assessment of thermal spreading resistance is of great importance to the thermal management of electronic devices, especially when completely considering the heat conduction process from the nanoscale heat source to the macroscopic…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-08-11 Han-Ling Li , Yang Shen , Yu-Chao Hua , S. L. Sobolev , Bing-Yang Cao
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