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We present a Bayesian model calibration framework for inferring nonlinear constitutive relationships in heat conduction problems, with a focus on temperature-dependent thermal conductivity. The proposed framework integrates gradient-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quarghebeur

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Leaving posterior sensitivity concerns aside, non-identifiability of the parameters does not raise a difficulty for Bayesian inference as far as the posterior is proper, but multi-modality or flat regions of the posterior induced by the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-22 Toru Kitagawa , Yizhou Kuang

Accurate condition monitoring of industrial equipment requires inferring latent degradation parameters from indirect sensor measurements under uncertainty. While traditional Bayesian methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Peter Collett , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Simone Casolo , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

Prominent features of simulated moving bed (SMB) chromatography processes in the downstream processing is based on the determination of operating conditions. However, effects of different types of uncertainties have to be studied and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Qiao-Le He , Liming Zhao

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

We consider the statistical linear inverse problem of recovering the unknown initial heat state from noisy interior measurements over an inhomogeneous domain of the solution to the heat equation at a fixed time instant. We employ…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Matteo Giordano

This work investigates the two-dimensional thermal behavior of a bilayer medium subject to both internal and external heat sources. The model incorporates diffusion, advection, and temperature-dependent volumetric heat generation or…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-12 Guillermo Federico Umbricht , Diana Rubio , Domingo Alberto Tarzia

The thermal response function given to a unit-step dissipation accurately characterizes the thermal system. Instead of the thermal response function the so-called structure function describing three-dimensional as the equivalent model of…

Materials Science · Physics 2007-09-13 E. Kollár , V. Szekely

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

Learning in deep models using Bayesian methods has generated significant attention recently. This is largely because of the feasibility of modern Bayesian methods to yield scalable learning and inference, while maintaining a measure of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-25 Chunyuan Li , Changyou Chen , Kai Fan , Lawrence Carin

Structural system identification in the presence of thermal loads is challenging, as unmeasured or poorly modeled thermal effects can mask or mimic damage, leading to unreliable conclusions. This work presents an optimization-driven,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Talhah Shamshad Ali Ansari , Suneth Warnakulasuriya , Ihar Antonau , Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Roland Wüchner

In this work, we proposes a CO2-temperature network model that links multi-zone mass transport and thermal dynamics through shared latent drivers, airflow and occupancy. The thermal component is formulated as a resistance-capacitance (RC)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Zhijian Wang , Stein K. F. Stoter , Clemens V. Verhoosel , Idoia Cortes Garcia

We analyze closed one-dimensional chains of weakly coupled many level systems, by means of the so-called Hilbert space average method (HAM). Subject to some concrete conditions on the Hamiltonian of the system, our theory predicts energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mathias Michel , Jochen Gemmer , Guenter Mahler

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an efficient Bayesian sampling method that can make distant proposals in the parameter space by simulating a Hamiltonian dynamical system. Despite its popularity in machine learning and data science, HMC is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-02 Ziming Liu , Zheng Zhang

Estimating model parameters of a general family of cure models is always a challenging task mainly due to flatness and multimodality of the likelihood function. In this work, we propose a fully Bayesian approach in order to overcome these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Fotios Milienos

Ultrafast and nanoscale heat conduction demands a unified theoretical framework that rigorously bridges macroscopic transport equations with microscopic material properties derived from statistical physics.Existing empirical generalizations…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-08 David E. Crawford , Yi Zeng , Judith Vidal , Jianjun Dong

First-principles Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling is used to investigate uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation in parameters describing hydrogen kinetics. Specifically, we sample the posterior distribution of thirty-one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-12 John Bell , Marcus Day , Jonathan Goodman , Ray Grout , Matthias Morzfeld

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for performing approximate inference in complex probabilistic models of continuous variables. In common with many MCMC methods, however, the standard HMC…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-12 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

In this research, a novel method to investigation the transient heat transfer coefficient in a channel is suggested experimentally, in which the water flow, itself, is considered both just liquid phase and liquid-vapor phase. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-30 Majid Karami , Somayeh Davoodabadi Farahani , Farshad Kowsary , Amir Mosavi