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Deep learning models achieve remarkable predictive performance, yet their black-box nature limits transparency and trustworthiness. Although numerous explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods have been proposed, they primarily…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jiarui Li , Zixiang Yin , Samuel J Landry , Zhengming Ding , Ramgopal R. Mettu

Social media has become an essential part of the modern lifestyle, with its usage being highly prevalent. This has resulted in unprecedented amounts of data generated from users in social media, such as users' attitudes, opinions,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Mohammad Wali Ur Rahman , Sicong Shao , Pratik Satam , Salim Hariri , Chris Padilla , Zoe Taylor , Carlos Nevarez

Publicly traded companies must disclose financial information under regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). The eXtensible Business Reporting Language (XBRL), as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Gang Hu , Qun Zhang , Jingyao Luo , Yile Jiang , Jing Chai , Haiyan Ding

Incorporating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into systematic investments has drawn numerous attention recently. In this paper, we focus on the ESG events in financial news flow and exploring the predictive power…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-07 Tian Guo , Nicolas Jamet , Valentin Betrix , Louis-Alexandre Piquet , Emmanuel Hauptmann

Concerns about the effect of greenhouse gases have motivated the development of certification protocols to quantify the industrial carbon footprint (CF). These protocols are manual, work-intensive, and expensive. All of the above have led…

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

This paper presents a novel study on harnessing Large Language Models' (LLMs) outstanding knowledge and reasoning abilities for explainable financial time series forecasting. The application of machine learning models to financial time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xinli Yu , Zheng Chen , Yuan Ling , Shujing Dong , Zongyi Liu , Yanbin Lu

In this paper, we study mid-cap companies, i.e. publicly traded companies with less than US $10 billion in market capitalisation. Using a large dataset of US mid-cap companies observed over 30 years, we look to predict the default…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-13 Kamesh Korangi , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

In many contexts, it can be useful for domain experts to understand to what extent predictions made by a machine learning model can be trusted. In particular, estimates of trustworthiness can be useful for fraud analysts who process machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Hilde J. P. Weerts , Werner van Ipenburg , Mykola Pechenizkiy

This study emphasizes how crucial it is to visualize machine learning models, especially for the banking industry, in order to improve interpretability and support predictions in high stakes financial settings. Visual tools enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Priyam Ganguly , Ramakrishna Garine , Isha Mukherjee

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

Precisely forecasting the excess returns of an asset (e.g., Tesla stock) is beneficial to all investors. However, the unpredictability of market dynamics, influenced by human behaviors, makes this a challenging task. In prior research,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Jingjing Guo

In the rapidly evolving financial sector, the accurate and timely interpretation of market news is essential for stakeholders needing to navigate unpredictable events. This paper introduces FANAL (Financial Activity News Alerting Language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Urjitkumar Patel , Fang-Chun Yeh , Chinmay Gondhalekar , Hari Nalluri

A major requirement for credit scoring models is to provide a maximally accurate risk prediction. Additionally, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in credit scoring, very simple predictive models such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-30 Michael Bücker , Gero Szepannek , Alicja Gosiewska , Przemyslaw Biecek

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Effective credit risk management is fundamental to financial decision-making, requiring robust models to predict default probabilities and classify financial entities. Traditional machine learning approaches face significant challenges when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu S. Sua , Figen Balo , Burak Dolar

Nowadays, organizations collect vast quantities of sensitive information in `Enterprise Resource Planning' (ERP) systems, such as accounting relevant transactions, customer master data, or strategic sales price information. The leakage of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Marco Schreyer , Chistian Schulze , Damian Borth

Contextual pretrained language models, such as BERT (Devlin et al., 2019), have made significant breakthrough in various NLP tasks by training on large scale of unlabeled text re-sources.Financial sector also accumulates large amount of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Yi Yang , Mark Christopher Siy UY , Allen Huang

Deep learning models have been criticized for their lack of easy interpretation, which undermines confidence in their use for important applications. Nevertheless, they are consistently utilized in many applications, consequential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Roozbeh Yousefzadeh , Dianne P. O'Leary

This thesis investigates share buybacks, specifically share buyback announcements. It addresses how to recognize such announcements, the excess return of share buybacks, and the prediction of returns after a share buyback announcement. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Thilo Reintjes