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We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Consider the sample path of a one-dimensional diffusion for which the diffusion coefficient is given and where the drift may take on one of two values: $\mu_0$ or $\mu_1$. Suppose that the signal-to-noise ratio (defined as the difference…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei

In the 1960s, Shiryaev developed a Bayesian theory of change-point detection in the i.i.d. case, which was generalized in the beginning of the 2000s by Tartakovsky and Veeravalli for general stochastic models assuming a certain stability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Chen-Der Fuh , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be non-i.i.d. (i.e., dependent and non-identically distributed) and the prior distribution of the change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We study distribution dependent stochastic differential equation driven by a continuous process, without any specification on its law, following the approach initiated in [16]. We provide several criteria for existence and uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Lucio Galeati , Fabian A. Harang , Avi Mayorcas

In the past decade, an intensive study of strong approximation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with a drift coefficient that has discontinuities in space has begun. In the majority of these results it is assumed that the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Thomas Müller-Gronbach , Larisa Yaroslavtseva

We consider the optimal stopping problem $v^{(\eps)}:=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal{T}_{0,T}}\mathbb{E}B_{(\tau-\eps)^+}$ posed by Shiryaev at the International Conference on Advanced Stochastic Optimization Problems organized by the Steklov…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

A distributed binary hypothesis testing problem, in which multiple observers transmit their observations to a detector over noisy channels, is studied. Given its own side information, the goal of the detector is to decide between two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-06 Sreejith Sreekumar , Deniz Gündüz

Quickest change point detection is concerned with the detection of statistical change(s) in sequences while minimizing the detection delay subject to false alarm constraints. In this paper, the problem of change point detection is studied…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 George Atia

Lyapunov drift and Lyapunov optimization are powerful techniques for optimizing time averages in stochastic queueing networks subject to stability. However, there are various definitions of queue stability in the literature, and the most…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-10-28 Michael J. Neely

We consider stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) on the one-dimensional torus, driven by space-time white noise, and with a time-periodic drift term, which vanishes on two stable and one unstable equilibrium branches. Each of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Nils Berglund , Rita Nader

In this paper, we consider the problem of detecting signals in multiple, sequentially observed data streams. For each stream, the exact distribution is unknown, but characterized by a parameter that takes values in either of two disjoint…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Yiming Xing , Anamitra Chaudhuri , Yifan Chen

We consider a class of time-inhomogeneous optimal stopping problems and we provide sufficient conditions on the data of the problem that guarantee monotonicity of the optimal stopping boundary. In our setting, time-inhomogeneity stems not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Alessandro Milazzo

Assume that there are multiple data streams (channels, sensors) and in each stream the process of interest produces generally dependent and non-identically distributed observations. When the process is in a normal mode (in-control), the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Alexander Tartakovsky

This paper concerns optimal stopping problems driven by the running maximum of a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process $X$. More precisely, we are interested in modifications of the Shepp-Shiryaev optimal stopping problem [Avram, Kyprianou…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Curdin Ott

We develop a necessary stochastic maximum principle for a finite-dimensional stochastic control problem in infinite horizon under a polynomial growth and joint monotonicity assumption on the coefficients. The second assumption generalizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Carlo Orrieri , Petr Veverka

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In 1960s Shiryaev developed Bayesian theory of change detection in independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sequences. In Shiryaev's classical setting the goal is to minimize an average detection delay under the constraint imposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

We introduce order-based diffusion processes as the solutions to multidimensional stochastic differential equations, with drift coefficient depending only on the ordering of the coordinates of the process and diffusion matrix proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-11 Benjamin Jourdain , Julien Reygner
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