English

On an Optimal Stopping Problem of an Insider

Probability 2015-04-07 v5 General Finance

Abstract

We consider the optimal stopping problem v(\eps):=supτT0,TEB(τ\eps)+v^{(\eps)}:=\sup_{\tau\in\mathcal{T}_{0,T}}\mathbb{E}B_{(\tau-\eps)^+} posed by Shiryaev at the International Conference on Advanced Stochastic Optimization Problems organized by the Steklov Institute of Mathematics in September 2012. Here T>0T>0 is a fixed time horizon, (Bt)0tT(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T} is the Brownian motion, \eps[0,T]\eps\in[0,T] is a constant, and T\eps,T\mathcal{T}_{\eps,T} is the set of stopping times taking values in [\eps,T][\eps,T]. The solution of this problem is characterized by a path dependent reflected backward stochastic differential equations, from which the continuity of \epsv(\eps)\eps \to v^{(\eps)} follows. For large enough \eps\eps, we obtain an explicit expression for v(\eps)v^{(\eps)} and for small \eps\eps we have lower and upper bounds. The main result of the paper is the asymptotics of v(\eps)v^{(\eps)} as \eps0\eps\searrow 0. As a byproduct, we also obtain L\'{e}vy's modulus of continuity result in the L1L^1 sense.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1301.3100,
  title  = {On an Optimal Stopping Problem of an Insider},
  author = {Erhan Bayraktar and Zhou Zhou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1301.3100},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

Final version. To appear in Theory of Probability and Its Applications