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In this paper, we address risk aggregation and capital allocation problems in the presence of dependence between risks. The dependence structure is defined by a mixed Bernstein copula which represents a generalization of the well-known…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-23 Fouad Marri , Khouzeima Moutanabbir

In this paper, we revisit the relationship between investors' utility functions and portfolio allocation rules. We derive portfolio allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed $ALD(\mu,\sigma,\kappa)$ returns and compare them with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

We propose a new class of monetary risk measures for assessing financial and ESG risk. The construction is based on classical shortfall risk measures with loss function replaced by a multi-attribute utility function. We present an extensive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-04 Sebastian Geissel , Christoph Knochenhauer

Using Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the Value at Risk (VaR) as a possible risk measure requires adequate techniques. One of these techniques is the application of a compound distribution for the aggregates in a portfolio. In this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-16 M. Assadsolimani , D. Chetalova

Risk sensitive decision making finds important applications in current day use cases. Existing risk measures consider a single or finite collection of random variables, which do not account for the asymptotic behaviour of underlying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Shivam Patel , Vivek Borkar

In general, underestimation of risk is something which should be avoided as far as possible. Especially in financial asset management, equity risk is typically characterized by the measure of portfolio variance, or indirectly by quantities…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-31 Thomas Schürmann , Ingo Hoffmann

This paper proposes a new methodology to compute Value at Risk (VaR) for quantifying losses in credit portfolios. We approximate the cumulative distribution of the loss function by a finite combination of Haar wavelets basis functions and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-30 Josep J. Masdemont , Luis Ortiz-Gracia

This research presents a framework for quantitative risk management in volatile markets, specifically focusing on expectile-based methodologies applied to the FTSE 100 index. Traditional risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) have…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-21 Abiodun Finbarrs Oketunji

The ability to make optimal decisions under uncertainty remains important across a variety of disciplines from portfolio management to power engineering. This generally implies applying some safety margins on uncertain parameters that may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-05 Matt Roveto , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

Value at risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) are common high quantile-based risk measures adopted in financial regulations and risk management. In this paper, we propose a tail risk measure based on the most probable maximum size of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Kan Chen , Tuoyuan Cheng

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

It is a widely observed phenomenon that wealth is distributed significantly more unequal than wages. In this paper we study this phenomenon using a new extension of P\'olyas urn, modelling wealth growth through wages and capital returns. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

Portfolio optimization has long been dominated by covariance-based strategies, such as the Markowitz Mean-Variance framework. However, these approaches often fail to ensure a balanced risk structure across assets, leading to concentration…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-07 Biswarup Chakraborty

In this paper, we are concerned with the optimization of a dynamic investment portfolio when the securities which follow a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps are periodically invested and proceed by approximating the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-26 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

We propose a portfolio approach for operational risk quantification based on a class of analytical models from which we derive new results on the correlation problem. In particular, we show that uniform correlation is a robust assumption…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-08 Vivien Brunel

We consider the consumption-based asset pricing model, derive a new modified basic pricing equation, and present its successive approximations using the Taylor series expansions of the investor's utility during the averaging time interval.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-18 Victor Olkhov

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu