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In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

The Solvency II Directive and Solvency Assessment and Management (the South African equivalent) give a Solvency Capital Requirement which is based on a 99.5% Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculation. This calculation involves aggregating individual…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe , Darren Steven , Martinette Pretorius

We consider optimal allocation problems with Conditional Value-At-Risk (CVaR) constraint. We prove, under very mild assumptions, the convergence of the Sample Average Approximation method (SAA) applied to this problem, and we also exhibit a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

We argue that using the Shapley value of cooperative game theory as the scheme for risk allocation among non-orthogonal risk factors is a natural way of interpreting the contribution made by each of such factors to overall portfolio risk.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Patrick S. Hagan , Andrew Lesniewski , Georgios E. Skoufis , Diana E. Woodward

In this paper, both dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problems and dynamic variance hedging problems are discussed under non-Markovian framework. Explicit closed-loop equilibrium strategies of these problems are respectively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Tianxiao Wang

Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) launched in 1997 the model CreditRisk+ which aims at calculating the loss distribution of a credit portfolio on the basis of a methodology from actuarial mathematics. Knowing the loss distribution, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Hermann Haaf , Dirk Tasche

The study of long-horizon returns has received a great deal of attention in recent years (see, for example, Boudoukh, Richardson, and Whitelaw (2008), Neuberger (2012) and Lee (2013), Fama and French (2018)). While most of the discussions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-20 Hwai-Chung Ho

We investigate the feasibility of integrating quantum algorithms as subroutines of simulation-based optimisation problems with relevance to and potential applications in mathematical finance. To this end, we conduct a thorough analysis of…

We use Fourier analysis to access risk in financial products. With it we analyze price changes of e.g. stocks. Via Fourier analysis we scrutinize quantitatively whether the frequency of change is higher than a change in (conserved) company…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-21 Michael Grabinski , Galiya Klinkova

We derive new approximations for the Value at Risk and the Expected Shortfall at high levels of loss distributions with positive skewness and excess kurtosis, and we describe their precisions for notable ones such as for exponential, Pareto…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-25 Matyas Barczy , Adam Dudas , Jozsef Gall

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

In this paper, we define probabilistic measures for venture portfolio performance based on individual outlier probability for each investment and the dependence across investments. This work is inspired by loan portfolio modeling against…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Kensei Sakamoto , Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we introduce a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-15 Hirbod Assa , Peng Liu

This paper studies the mean-variance optimal portfolio choice of an investor pre-committed to a deterministic investment policy in continuous time in a market with mean-reversion in the risk-free rate and the equity risk-premium. In the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Michael Preisel

In this contribution we consider the overall risk given as the sum of random subrisks $\mathbf{X}_j$ in the context of value-at-risk (VaR) based risk calculations. If we assume that the undertaking knows the parametric distribution family…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Andreas Fröhlich , Annegret Weng

In the context of risk measures, the capital allocation problem is widely studied in the literature where different approaches have been developed, also in connection with cooperative game theory and systemic risk. Although static capital…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Emanuela Rosazza Gianin , Marco Zullino

In the paper, we use and investigate copulas models to represent multivariate dependence in financial time series. We propose the algorithm of risk measure computation using copula models. Using the optimal mean-$CVaR$ portfolio we compute…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-13 Mikhail Semenov , Daulet Smagulov

We introduce an equilibrium asset pricing model, which we build on the relationship between a novel risk measure, the Expected Downside Risk (EDR) and the expected return. On the one hand, our proposed risk measure uses a nonparametric…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-08 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

Factor models have become a common and valued tool for understanding the risks associated with an investing strategy. In this report we describe Exabel's factor model, we quantify the fraction of the variability of the returns explained by…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Øyvind Grotmol , Michael Scheuerer , Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum

In structural credit risk models, default events and the ensuing losses are both derived from the asset values at maturity. Hence it is of utmost importance to choose a distribution for these asset values which is in accordance with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-13 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr